Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

NasdaqGM:LGND Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.3b

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is LGND undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LGND when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LGND ($119.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($250.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LGND is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LGND?

Key metric: As LGND is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LGND. This is calculated by dividing LGND's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LGND's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.8x
EarningsUS$45.24m
Market CapUS$2.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LGND's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LGND vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
NDOI Endo
0.6xn/aUS$1.9b
SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals
33.5x36.2%US$2.0b
INVA Innoviva
18.6xn/aUS$1.2b
AMPH Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
13.9x6.7%US$2.2b
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals
49.8x35.5%US$2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LGND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.8x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LGND's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NDOI Endo
0.6xn/aUS$1.87b
PROC Procaps Group
2xn/aUS$103.80m
KPRX Kiora Pharmaceuticals
1.8x-40.4%US$10.11m
EDXC Endexx
0.8xn/aUS$5.34m
LGND 49.8xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LGND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.8x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LGND's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LGND PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.8x
Fair PE Ratio31.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LGND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LGND forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$119.19
US$140.25
+17.7%
7.3%US$157.00US$125.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$110.04
US$129.38
+17.6%
11.2%US$157.00US$110.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$101.35
US$124.00
+22.3%
11.8%US$144.00US$110.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$105.80
US$124.00
+17.2%
11.8%US$144.00US$110.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$104.30
US$119.83
+14.9%
16.0%US$144.00US$95.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$84.85
US$116.80
+37.7%
16.6%US$144.00US$95.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$85.05
US$116.80
+37.3%
16.6%US$144.00US$95.00n/a5
May ’25US$71.42
US$116.80
+63.5%
16.6%US$144.00US$95.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$73.60
US$116.80
+58.7%
16.6%US$144.00US$95.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$78.70
US$116.80
+48.4%
16.6%US$144.00US$95.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$74.17
US$114.80
+54.8%
18.6%US$144.00US$90.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$71.42
US$114.80
+60.7%
18.6%US$144.00US$90.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$58.75
US$111.83
+90.4%
18.5%US$144.00US$90.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$53.30
US$112.67
+111.4%
17.6%US$144.00US$95.00US$110.046
Oct ’24US$59.92
US$112.67
+88.0%
17.6%US$144.00US$95.00US$101.356
Sep ’24US$66.54
US$112.67
+69.3%
17.6%US$144.00US$95.00US$105.806
Aug ’24US$66.70
US$112.67
+68.9%
17.6%US$144.00US$95.00US$104.306
Jul ’24US$72.10
US$114.33
+58.6%
17.4%US$144.00US$95.00US$84.856
Jun ’24US$71.20
US$112.83
+58.5%
15.9%US$135.00US$95.00US$85.056
May ’24US$76.72
US$112.50
+46.6%
16.2%US$135.00US$95.00US$71.426
Apr ’24US$73.56
US$112.50
+52.9%
16.2%US$135.00US$95.00US$73.606
Mar ’24US$73.92
US$112.50
+52.2%
16.2%US$135.00US$95.00US$78.706
Feb ’24US$70.65
US$111.67
+58.1%
17.1%US$135.00US$90.00US$74.176
Jan ’24US$66.80
US$111.67
+67.2%
17.1%US$135.00US$90.00US$71.426
Dec ’23US$69.99
US$125.83
+79.8%
21.8%US$175.00US$95.00US$58.756
Nov ’23US$84.61
US$149.17
+76.3%
10.1%US$175.00US$130.00US$53.306

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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