Stock Analysis

Spero Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPRO) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqGS:SPRO
Source: Shutterstock

The Spero Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPRO) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Spero Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.3x and even P/S higher than 52x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Spero Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SPRO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

What Does Spero Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Spero Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Spero Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Spero Therapeutics?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Spero Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 249% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Spero Therapeutics' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Spero Therapeutics' P/S

Shares in Spero Therapeutics have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Spero Therapeutics' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Spero Therapeutics, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:SPRO

Spero Therapeutics

A clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on identifying, developing, and commercializing novel treatments for multi-drug resistant (MDR) bacterial infections and rare diseases in the United States.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

Community Narratives

Leading the Game with Growth, Innovation, and Exceptional Returns
Fair Value SEK 300.00|50.46000000000001% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why ASML Dominates the Chip Market
Fair Value €864.91|18.292% undervalued
yiannisz
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
Fair Value US$142.00|20.485999999999997% undervalued
Maxell
Maxell
Community Contributor