Sera Prognostics, Inc.

NasdaqGM:SERA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$215.5m

Sera Prognostics Valuation

Is SERA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SERA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SERA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SERA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SERA?

Key metric: As SERA barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for SERA. This is calculated by dividing SERA's market cap by their current book value.
What is SERA's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4x
BookUS$54.65m
Market CapUS$215.47m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does SERA's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for SERA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
TCRX TScan Therapeutics
1.1x5.6%US$255.4m
ATYR aTyr Pharma
4.2x62.5%US$261.9m
TSVT 2seventy bio
0.8x75.6%US$193.5m
INBX Inhibrx Biosciences
1.3xn/aUS$215.1m
SERA Sera Prognostics
4x-4.5%US$215.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: SERA is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does SERA's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$594.06m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$217.60m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
SERA 4.0xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies78PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: SERA is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SERA's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SERA PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SERA's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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