Stock Analysis
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- Biotech
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- NasdaqGM:SAGE
Revenues Working Against Sage Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SAGE) Share Price
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x Sage Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:SAGE) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 64x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Sage Therapeutics
How Has Sage Therapeutics Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Sage Therapeutics has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sage Therapeutics.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sage Therapeutics?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sage Therapeutics would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 92% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 49% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 207% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Sage Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Sage Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sage Therapeutics you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGM:SAGE
Sage Therapeutics
A biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes brain health medicines.