Revolution Medicines Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Revolution Medicines is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 62.9% and 59.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 60.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -203.9% in 3 years.
Key information
62.9%
Earnings growth rate
60.34%
EPS growth rate
| Biotechs earnings growth | 27.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 59.4% |
| Future return on equity | -203.87% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 06 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
RVMD: Pancreatic Cancer Survival Data And FDA Review Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Revolution Medicines from $252.79 to $272.75. This reflects higher assumptions around revenue potential, a richer future P/E multiple, and updated views on discount rate and profitability that are consistent with the series of recent price target increases across the Street.High Risk, High Reward: Inside The Revolution Medicines Bull Case
Summary Revolution Medicines is evolving from a clinical-stage biotech to a near-term commercial oncology player, anchored by its RAS(ON) inhibitor platform. RVMD's robust $3.9 billion cash position and additional committed capital support aggressive pipeline expansion and commercial launch readiness, reducing near-term dilution risk. Daraxonrasib's potential FDA approval and commercial launch in pancreatic cancer could fundamentally transform RVMD's financial profile and validate its broader RAS-targeted strategy. The bull case hinges on successful execution across multiple Phase 3 programs, pipeline expansion into lung and colorectal cancers, and establishing RVMD as a backbone therapy provider. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
RVMD: FDA Review And RAS Portfolio Progress Point To Balanced Future
Analysts have lifted the updated fair value estimate for Revolution Medicines from about $133.70 to roughly $204.38, citing higher assumed revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and more moderate future P/E expectations. These changes follow a series of price target increases tied to daraxonrasib data, regulatory progress, and combination therapy readouts.RVMD: Pancreatic Cancer Survival Breakthrough Will Drive Repricing Of Future Prospects
Revolution Medicines' analyst price targets have shifted higher, with several firms moving into a $182 to $235 range. Analysts point to updated RASolute-302 data, strengthened expectations for daraxonrasib and zoldonrasib across pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and other RAS-mutant cancers, and more constructive views on long term revenue potential.
RVMD: Survival Breakthrough In Pancreatic Cancer Will Likely Not Justify Current Pricing
Analysts lifted their average price target on Revolution Medicines to $151, up from $92.22, citing stronger Phase 3 daraxonrasib data in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and growing confidence in the drug's role across RAS-mutant cancers as key drivers of the shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage around Revolution Medicines centers on daraxonrasib, the RASolute 302 data presented at ASCO, and combination trials in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.Late Stage RAS Oncology Pipeline Will Reshape Long Term Cancer Treatment Options
Catalysts About Revolution Medicines Revolution Medicines focuses on targeted therapies for cancers driven by RAS mutations. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Late Stage RAS Oncology Pipeline Will Face Heavy Costs Yet Eventually Support Stable Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Revolution Medicines Revolution Medicines focuses on targeted therapies for cancers driven by RAS mutations, with a pipeline of RAS(ON) inhibitors across pancreatic, lung and colorectal indications. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?RAS Oncology Catalysts Will Drive A Transformational Long Term Opportunity
Catalysts About Revolution Medicines Revolution Medicines focuses on targeted therapies for cancers driven by RAS mutations, with a broad portfolio of RAS(ON) inhibitors across multiple tumor types. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Revolution Medicines: Overpriced RAS-Addicted Cancers Maven
Summary Revolution Medicines is a clinical-stage pharma company with a market cap of ~6 billion. It has ample liquidity to support its current business plan into 2027. Its pipeline directed entirely towards RAS-addicted cancers includes two phase 3 trials that are still enrolling patients. Investment thesis: Revolution's hefty market cap belies its speculative prospects, particularly in the current market environment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,115 | -458 | -9 | N/A | 17 |
| 12/31/2027 | 978 | -1,411 | -1,016 | N/A | 18 |
| 12/31/2026 | 128 | -2,064 | -1,697 | N/A | 20 |
| 6/30/2026 | N/A | -1,768 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | N/A | -1,372 | -1,072 | -1,057 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | N/A | -1,131 | -914 | -898 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | N/A | -961 | -777 | -762 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | N/A | -812 | -700 | -685 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | N/A | -698 | -602 | -591 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | N/A | -600 | -568 | -557 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1 | -567 | -551 | -540 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1 | -519 | -520 | -510 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5 | -484 | -458 | -449 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 12 | -436 | -358 | -351 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 26 | -331 | -300 | -292 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 30 | -296 | -252 | -243 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 35 | -259 | -242 | -232 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 35 | -249 | -235 | -224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 30 | -245 | -211 | -202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 27 | -224 | -193 | -187 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 27 | -208 | -170 | -165 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 29 | -187 | -154 | -147 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 29 | -169 | -139 | -133 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 40 | -143 | -130 | -123 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 42 | -126 | -115 | -109 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 43 | -110 | -103 | -100 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 46 | -95 | -89 | -87 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 46 | -85 | -76 | -74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 48 | -71 | N/A | -65 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 50 | -62 | N/A | -50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 48 | -57 | N/A | -50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 20 | -49 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: RVMD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: RVMD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: RVMD is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: RVMD's revenue (59.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13% per year).
High Growth Revenue: RVMD's revenue (59.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: RVMD is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/09 14:44 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Revolution Medicines, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Walch | Bernstein |
| Alec Stranahan | BofA Global Research |
| Cory Kasimov | Evercore ISI |