Vaxcyte, Inc.

NasdaqGS:PCVX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.2b

Vaxcyte Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Vaxcyte is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 30.3% and 71% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 48.4% per annum.

Key information

30.3%

Earnings growth rate

48.36%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth24.7%
Revenue growth rate71.0%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha May 02

Vaxcyte's Manufacturing-Backed Vaccine Platform Is Redefining The PCV Market

Summary Vaxcyte is evolving from a single-product biotech into a commercial vaccine platform with advanced manufacturing and regulatory alignment. VAX-31, a 31-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, targets broader serotype coverage than competitors and is in pivotal Phase 3 adult and Phase 2 infant trials. PCVX boasts strong financials, with over $2.4B in cash and a completed manufacturing facility, enabling concurrent late-stage development and commercial preparation. Key catalysts include the OPUS-1 Phase 3 readout in Q4 2026, with further adult and infant data in 2027, positioning PCVX as a next-generation vaccine leader. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative Mar 19

Future Late Stage Vaccine Programs And Manufacturing Capacity Will Drive Long Term Opportunity

Catalysts About Vaxcyte Vaxcyte is a vaccine company focused on developing broader-coverage pneumococcal and Group A Strep vaccines for adult and pediatric use. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Mar 05

Late Stage Vaccine Programs And New Manufacturing Capacity Will Underpin Long Term Upside

Catalysts About Vaxcyte Vaxcyte is a vaccine company focused on pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and a Group A Strep program, using a carrier sparing platform to target broad disease coverage. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
New Narrative Mar 03

Late Stage Vaccine Trials And Manufacturing Buildout Will Shape Balanced Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Vaxcyte Vaxcyte is a vaccine company developing pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and a Group A Strep candidate using a carrier sparing platform and large scale manufacturing infrastructure. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article Jul 07

We're Not Very Worried About Vaxcyte's (NASDAQ:PCVX) Cash Burn Rate

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...
Seeking Alpha Mar 31

Vaxcyte: Plunge On FDA Top Regulator Resigning Generates Buying Opportunity

Summary Vaxcyte, Inc.'s positive results achieved from phase 2 dose-finding study using VAX-24 for the prevention of invasive pneumococcal disease in infants; Further post 4 dose data expected 2nd of 2025. It is expected that the 7 major pneumococcal disease markets are to reach a value of $11.6 billion by 2035. VAX-24 goes beyond that of Prevnar 20 in terms of targeting 4 more serotypes than it. PCVX is attempting to expand its program in the prevention of IPD with candidates VAX-31 and VAX-XL; The goal is broaden the disease that can be targeted. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 15

Vaxcyte Aims To Outshine Pfizer With Bold VAX-31 Strategy

Summary Vaxcyte's stock surged 68% since August 2023, driven by progress with its pneumococcal conjugate vaccine candidates, VAX-24 and VAX-31. VAX-31, covering 95.6% of serotypes, has been selected over VAX-24 for Phase 3 trials, with topline data expected in 2026. Vaxcyte's robust financial position, with over $3 billion in cash and investments, supports its strategic flexibility and extended timelines. The expanded market guidelines and projected PCV market growth to $12 billion bolster Vaxcyte's potential, with VAX-31's NPV estimated at $13.5 billion upon approval. Despite recent weakness, maintaining a buy rating based on upcoming Phase 3 catalyst and strong cash position, though high valuation presents risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 06

Vaxcyte: Stunning PCV Data Readout Suggests Vaccine Maker Is A Strong Buy

Summary Vaxcyte's stock surged this week due to promising Phase 1/2 data for its VAX-31 vaccine, showing superior immune responses compared to Pfizer's Prevnar 20. VAX-31 targets 31 strains, covering over 95% of IPD in U.S. adults, with Phase 3 trials expected to deliver top line data by mid-2026. Despite competition from Merck and GSK, Vaxcyte's innovative XpressCF platform offers a significant competitive edge in the growing PCV market. Investors should consider potential risks and wait for market stabilization post-fundraising, but the long-term upside remains compelling with possible +75% upside in play, in my view. There are some risks to consider - length of time to potential approval the most prominent - but it's rare to see such a compelling data set when market incumbents are so established. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:PCVX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028241-1,257-793-8456
12/31/202727-1,313-1,099-1,0386
12/31/2026N/A-1,140-1,058-8687
3/31/2026N/A-947-815-770N/A
12/31/2025N/A-767-713-656N/A
9/30/2025N/A-657-621-542N/A
6/30/2025N/A-547-564-460N/A
3/31/2025N/A-510-594-460N/A
12/31/2024N/A-464-572-453N/A
9/30/2024N/A-508-616-470N/A
6/30/2024N/A-497-582-467N/A
3/31/2024N/A-437-483-408N/A
12/31/2023N/A-402-365-297N/A
9/30/2023N/A-300-245-233N/A
6/30/2023N/A-265-220-214N/A
3/31/2023N/A-245-199-191N/A
12/31/2022N/A-223-176-171N/A
9/30/2022N/A-174-163-156N/A
6/30/2022N/A-143-153-146N/A
3/31/2022N/A-118-144-136N/A
12/31/2021N/A-100-128-121N/A
9/30/2021N/A-92-87-81N/A
6/30/2021N/A-87-70-66N/A
3/31/2021N/A-83-48-46N/A
12/31/2020N/A-89-48-47N/A
9/30/2020N/A-83-52-50N/A
6/30/2020N/A-73-48-47N/A
3/31/2020N/A-64-53-51N/A
12/31/2019N/A-50N/A-47N/A
12/31/2018N/A-29N/A-30N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PCVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: PCVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: PCVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PCVX's revenue (71% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PCVX's revenue (71% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if PCVX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 18:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vaxcyte, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jason Matthew GerberryBofA Global Research
Thomas ShraderBTIG
Carter GouldCantor Fitzgerald & Co.