Outlook Therapeutics, Inc.

NasdaqCM:OTLK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$115.7m

Outlook Therapeutics Valuation

Is OTLK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OTLK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OTLK's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OTLK's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OTLK?

Key metric: As OTLK is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for OTLK. This is calculated by dividing OTLK's market cap by their current book value.
What is OTLK's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio-0.5x
Book-US$83.67m
Market CapUS$115.68m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does OTLK's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for OTLK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
IFRX InflaRx
2x35.3%US$129.5m
PLX Protalix BioTherapeutics
3.8x118.3%US$123.7m
VIGL Vigil Neuroscience
1.1x15.9%US$89.8m
CDTX Cidara Therapeutics
1.9x2.5%US$214.3m
OTLK Outlook Therapeutics
n/a55.7%US$115.7m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: OTLK has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-0.5x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does OTLK's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

59 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$588.69m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$205.50m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$77.18m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$75.22m
OTLK is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies73PB01.63.24.86.48+
59 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: OTLK has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-0.5x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OTLK's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OTLK PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-0.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OTLK's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OTLK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.70
US$33.60
+1,876.5%
37.5%US$53.00US$14.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$6.05
US$39.50
+552.9%
22.4%US$53.00US$30.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$5.22
US$37.43
+617.0%
25.7%US$53.00US$25.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$7.35
US$37.14
+405.3%
26.4%US$53.00US$25.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$7.40
US$38.43
+419.3%
29.8%US$60.00US$25.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$7.41
US$38.43
+418.6%
29.8%US$60.00US$25.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$7.07
US$38.43
+443.5%
29.8%US$60.00US$25.00n/a7
May ’25US$8.50
US$39.86
+368.9%
29.0%US$60.00US$25.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$10.26
US$39.86
+288.5%
29.0%US$60.00US$25.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$8.13
US$44.40
+446.4%
27.3%US$60.00US$30.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$7.25
US$45.23
+523.9%
56.4%US$100.00US$20.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$7.88
US$50.00
+534.5%
60.0%US$100.00US$20.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$9.46
US$27.50
+190.8%
30.2%US$40.00US$20.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$12.65
US$22.50
+77.9%
19.2%US$30.00US$20.00US$6.054
Oct ’24US$4.42
US$22.50
+409.0%
19.2%US$30.00US$20.00US$5.224
Sep ’24US$4.52
US$52.50
+1,061.0%
107.2%US$150.00US$20.00US$7.354
Aug ’24US$33.40
US$130.00
+289.2%
28.0%US$200.00US$90.00US$7.408
Jul ’24US$34.80
US$134.29
+285.9%
27.5%US$200.00US$90.00US$7.417
Jun ’24US$32.60
US$134.29
+311.9%
27.5%US$200.00US$90.00US$7.077
May ’24US$23.40
US$132.14
+464.7%
29.2%US$200.00US$80.00US$8.507
Apr ’24US$21.80
US$137.50
+530.7%
28.5%US$200.00US$80.00US$10.266
Mar ’24US$21.60
US$124.00
+474.1%
34.4%US$200.00US$80.00US$8.135
Feb ’24US$23.40
US$136.00
+481.2%
27.0%US$200.00US$100.00US$7.255
Jan ’24US$21.60
US$140.00
+548.1%
23.9%US$200.00US$100.00US$7.885
Dec ’23US$21.00
US$144.00
+585.7%
20.4%US$200.00US$120.00US$9.465
Nov ’23US$23.00
US$144.00
+526.1%
20.4%US$200.00US$120.00US$12.655

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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