Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.

NasdaqGM:OCUL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Ocular Therapeutix Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Ocular Therapeutix's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -27%, while the Pharmaceuticals industry saw earnings growing at 8.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 13.2% per year.

Key information

-26.96%

Earnings growth rate

0.68%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals Industry Growth5.95%
Revenue growth rate13.20%
Return on equity-40.64%
Net Margin-511.90%
Next Earnings Update05 May 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

OCUL: SOL-1 Data Clarity Will Support Future Retinal Franchise Upside

Analysts have lifted their blended 12 month price target on Ocular Therapeutix by about $1 to $27, citing detailed SOL-1 Phase 3 data that in their view clarify approval odds, support Axpaxli's potential in wet age related macular degeneration and diabetic retinopathy, and help offset recent share price volatility. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates focus heavily on how the detailed SOL-1 Phase 3 data could influence Axpaxli's clinical positioning, regulatory outlook, and Ocular Therapeutix's valuation, especially after a sharp share price pullback.

OCUL: SOL-1 Phase 3 Data Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Ocular Therapeutix's updated analyst price targets, which now range from $27 to $34, reflect analysts' view that detailed Phase 3 SOL-1 data for Axpaxli clarify key efficacy and safety questions and support the case for potential approval in wet AMD and diabetic retinopathy. Analyst Commentary Recent research following the full Phase 3 SOL-1 readout has been broadly constructive, with several firms lifting price targets into the US$27 to US$34 range.

OCUL: Phase 3 SOL-1 Clarity Will Drive Future Retinal Upside

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Ocular Therapeutix by about $2, citing detailed Phase 3 SOL-1 data that they say clarify the approval path for Axpaxli and reduce perceived risk in the broader retinal program. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide range of views on how Axpaxli and the SOL-1 data could influence Ocular Therapeutix's valuation and execution risk.

OCUL: Phase 3 Retinal Data And Potential Sanofi Bid Will Reshape Outlook

Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for Ocular Therapeutix to $34 from $31, citing refreshed price targets in the $27 to $34 range and detailed SOL-1 trial data. They say these data clarify approval prospects and support Axpaxli's potential role in large eye disease markets.

OCUL: Higher Sanofi Bid And SOL-1 Data Will Drive Bullish Repricing

The analyst price target for Ocular Therapeutix has been adjusted from $20 to $18 as analysts factor in updated fair value estimates, along with views that Axpaxli data from the SOL-1 trial supports potential durability and safety in the large wet AMD market. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but generally supportive stance toward Ocular Therapeutix following the SOL-1 trial readout.

Ocular: 'Buy' As AXPAXLI Program For Wet-AMD Moves To Potential NDA Filing

Feb 17

OCUL: Potential Higher Sanofi Bid Will Drive Bullish Repricing

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Ocular Therapeutix to $20.00 from $19.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they view as more closely aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News Sanofi is reported to be preparing a higher bid for Ocular Therapeutix, signaling continuing interest in the company as a potential acquisition target (IBD, Periodicals).

OCUL: Potential Sanofi Bid And Phase 3 Milestones Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ocular Therapeutix from US$14.00 to US$19.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News Sanofi is reported to be preparing a higher bid for Ocular Therapeutix, according to Investor's Business Daily, highlighting ongoing interest from a large pharmaceutical partner (IBD).

OCUL: Potential Sanofi Bid And Late Stage Trials Will Reshape Outlook

Analysts now put their fair value estimate for Ocular Therapeutix at US$31.00, up from US$22.00. They cite revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that change their overall risk and return outlook for the stock.

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) Stock Retreats 29% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Jan 08
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) Stock Retreats 29% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

OCUL: Phase 3 Retinal Program Progress Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have reaffirmed their price target on Ocular Therapeutix at roughly US$24.17 per share, citing largely unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that together support a stable fair value outlook. What's in the News Ocular Therapeutix plans to enter a quiet period starting 20 December 2025 as it prepares for database lock for the SOL-1 Phase 3 trial of AXPAXLI for wet age-related macular degeneration.

OCUL: Derisked Diabetic Retinopathy Pivotal Program Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts raised their price target on Ocular Therapeutix by approximately $1.25 per share, citing derisking of the pivotal Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy program and the potential for blockbuster revenue growth, along with upcoming wet AMD pivotal readouts that are expected to drive meaningful near term value creation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the updated price target as a reflection of increased confidence in Ocular Therapeutix's execution against its late stage ophthalmology pipeline, particularly in Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and wet AMD.

OCUL: Pivotal Retinopathy Trial Progress Will Drive Substantial Upside Potential

Analysts have increased their price target for Ocular Therapeutix from $20 to $29, citing new developments in a derisked pivotal program for Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy as well as potential near-term value from upcoming wet AMD trial readouts. Analyst Commentary Following the recent price target increase for Ocular Therapeutix, analysts have provided a range of perspectives on the company's opportunities and risks.

OCUL: Pivotal Trial Progress in Diabetic Retinopathy Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Ocular Therapeutix by $1.00 to $22.92, citing recently derisked pivotal programs that enhance the company's potential for both near-term and long-term value creation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the recent price target increase as evidence of growing confidence in the company's clinical programs and strategic direction.

OCUL: Pivotal Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy Results Will Drive Future Share Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Ocular Therapeutix from $20 to $29, citing the newly derisked pivotal program in Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and anticipated value from upcoming wet AMD trial results as justification for their greater optimism. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst discussions have centered on the positive momentum surrounding Ocular Therapeutix due to its progress in developing treatments for retinal diseases.

Future Drug Approvals Will Expand Retinal Disease Treatments

Ocular Therapeutix saw its analyst price target increase significantly from $20 to $29, as analysts cite newly available de-risked data in Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and upcoming pivotal readouts in wet AMD as key drivers of enhanced valuation. Analyst Commentary Following the recent price target revision, analysts have weighed in with both optimistic and cautious perspectives regarding Ocular Therapeutix's outlook.

Future Drug Approvals Will Expand Retinal Disease Treatments

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ocular Therapeutix from $17.45 to $20.17 per share, citing increased clarity around the company's pivotal program in Nonproliferative Diabetic Retinopathy and its emerging opportunities in wet AMD. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided detailed insights following recent developments at Ocular Therapeutix, offering a balanced perspective on both the opportunities and challenges influencing the company's valuation and future growth prospects.

After Leaping 31% Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Jul 29
After Leaping 31% Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Jun 10
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

May 29
Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Revenue and EPS estimates

May 07
Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Revenue and EPS estimates

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) P/S

Mar 25
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OCUL) P/S
User avatar

FDA Approval And Adjusted Trials Will Expand Treatment Options

AXPAXLI's FDA amendment enables better dosing schedules, boosting market penetration and revenue through superior treatment durability.

Ocular Therapeutix: Axpaxli's Dual Trial Strategy And Blockbuster Potential

Mar 06

Does Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 25
Does Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Is Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Oct 16
Is Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Ocular Therapeutix: Focus On Axpaxli's Path To Market In Wet-AMD And Implications To Investors

Oct 11

Earnings Update: Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Just Reported Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Aug 10
Earnings Update: Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Just Reported Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Ocular Therapeutix: A Speculative Investment For Risk-Tolerant Investors

Jul 23

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Stocks Shoot Up 41% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Jul 15
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Stocks Shoot Up 41% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jun 05
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Could Be 45% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Ocular Therapeutix: Unveiling Pipeline Progress (AXPAXLI, PAXTRAVA) And Q1 Results

Jun 01

Ocular Therapeutics' Impressive Surge: A Strategic Insight

Mar 19

Ocular Therapeutix: Diabetic Retinopathy Data Q2 2024 And Wet AMD Advancement

Feb 11

Ocular Therapeutix Vies With Gene Therapies, Not Just Eylea, For Wet AMD

Jan 10

Optimistic Investors Push Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

Jan 09
Optimistic Investors Push Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (NASDAQ:OCUL) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

Is Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Using Too Much Debt?

Oct 15
Is Ocular Therapeutix (NASDAQ:OCUL) Using Too Much Debt?

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Ocular Therapeutix makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NasdaqGM:OCUL Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 2552-2661180
30 Sep 2556-2501230
30 Jun 2557-2171170
31 Mar 2560-1931070
31 Dec 2464-194910
30 Sep 2461-174830
30 Jun 2461-138780
31 Mar 2460-115790
31 Dec 2358-81740
30 Sep 2358-67760
30 Jun 2355-91770
31 Mar 2352-89750
31 Dec 2251-71720
30 Sep 2250-59700
30 Jun 2250-33690
31 Mar 2249-22680
31 Dec 2144-7670
30 Sep 2139-88640
30 Jun 2132-103590
31 Mar 2122-131530
31 Dec 2017-156490
30 Sep 2012-96490
30 Jun 207-103490
31 Mar 206-91500
31 Dec 194-86470
30 Sep 192-78410
30 Jun 192-74340
31 Mar 192-63270
31 Dec 182-60240
30 Sep 182-56200
30 Jun 182-56220
31 Mar 182-61270
31 Dec 172-63310
30 Sep 172-63330
30 Jun 172-57290
31 Mar 172-50230
31 Dec 162-45180
30 Sep 162-43160
30 Jun 162-44150
31 Mar 162-43140
31 Dec 152-40130
30 Sep 152-37120
30 Jun 152-33110

Quality Earnings: OCUL is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: OCUL is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: OCUL is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 27% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare OCUL's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: OCUL is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Pharmaceuticals industry (-3.3%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: OCUL has a negative Return on Equity (-40.64%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/03 01:01
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Colleen KusyBaird
Anita DushyanthBerenberg
Tazeen AhmadBofA Global Research