Invivyd, Inc.

NasdaqGM:IVVD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$46.1m

Invivyd Valuation

Is IVVD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IVVD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$85.38
Fair Value
99.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: IVVD ($0.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($85.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IVVD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IVVD?

Key metric: As IVVD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for IVVD. This is calculated by dividing IVVD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is IVVD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesUS$11.56m
Market CapUS$46.09m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does IVVD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for IVVD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
CNTB Connect Biopharma Holdings
2.2x24.8%US$53.6m
PRLD Prelude Therapeutics
21.8x62.8%US$63.0m
RLYB Rallybio
60.8x60.5%US$36.2m
XLO Xilio Therapeutics
6.6x10.0%US$31.5m
IVVD Invivyd
4x45.0%US$46.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: IVVD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does IVVD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

138 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BIIB Biogen
2.2x1.2%US$21.04b
MRNA Moderna
3.1x10.2%US$15.67b
INCY Incyte
3.5x5.4%US$14.20b
EXAS Exact Sciences
3.9x9.3%US$10.16b
IVVD 4.0xIndustry Avg. 9.9xNo. of Companies138PS01632486480+
138 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: IVVD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (10.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IVVD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IVVD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: IVVD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IVVD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.39
US$5.89
+1,409.6%
63.5%US$10.00US$1.00n/a4
Jan ’26US$0.44
US$5.89
+1,228.7%
63.5%US$10.00US$1.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$0.70
US$6.51
+831.9%
54.8%US$10.00US$1.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$0.91
US$8.72
+854.5%
50.8%US$15.00US$1.10n/a5
Oct ’25US$0.90
US$8.65
+861.0%
57.3%US$15.00US$1.10n/a4
Sep ’25US$0.85
US$8.65
+917.4%
57.3%US$15.00US$1.10n/a4
Aug ’25US$1.20
US$9.23
+672.0%
46.6%US$15.00US$2.90n/a4
Jul ’25US$1.20
US$9.23
+668.8%
46.6%US$15.00US$2.90n/a4
Jun ’25US$1.84
US$9.23
+401.4%
46.6%US$15.00US$2.90n/a4
May ’25US$2.42
US$9.38
+287.4%
43.6%US$15.00US$3.50n/a4
Apr ’25US$4.25
US$9.67
+127.5%
46.5%US$15.00US$4.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$4.07
US$7.67
+88.4%
67.6%US$15.00US$4.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$4.80
US$7.67
+59.7%
67.6%US$15.00US$4.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$3.94
US$4.33
+10.0%
10.9%US$5.00US$4.00US$0.443
Dec ’24US$1.54
US$2.50
+62.3%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$0.703
Nov ’24US$1.47
US$2.50
+70.1%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$0.913
Oct ’24US$1.70
US$2.50
+47.1%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$0.903
Sep ’24US$1.83
US$2.50
+36.6%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$0.853
Aug ’24US$1.45
US$2.50
+72.4%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$1.203
Jul ’24US$1.05
US$2.50
+138.1%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$1.203
Jun ’24US$1.50
US$2.50
+66.7%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$1.843
May ’24US$1.24
US$2.50
+101.6%
71.2%US$5.00US$1.00US$2.423
Apr ’24US$1.20
US$1.25
+4.2%
20.0%US$1.50US$1.00US$4.252
Mar ’24US$1.73
US$2.75
+59.0%
27.3%US$3.50US$2.00US$4.072
Feb ’24US$2.26
US$2.75
+21.7%
27.3%US$3.50US$2.00US$4.802
Jan ’24US$1.50
US$3.83
+155.6%
22.2%US$5.00US$3.00US$3.943
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
US$5.89
Fair Value
93.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 07:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Invivyd, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jason KolbertD. Boral Capital LLC.
Patrick TrucchioH.C. Wainwright & Co.
Michael YeeJefferies LLC