X4 Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

NasdaqCM:XFOR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$119.0m

X4 Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is XFOR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XFOR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XFOR ($0.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XFOR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XFOR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

XFOR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue50.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-0.2x
PEG Ratio-0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XFOR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XFOR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
FENC Fennec Pharmaceuticals
49.4x57.4%US$139.8m
TRDA Entrada Therapeutics
5.2x-57.0%US$512.7m
SPRO Spero Therapeutics
4x20.3%US$70.3m
PNT POINT Biopharma Global
13.8x9.2%US$1.3b
XFOR X4 Pharmaceuticals
6.8x-8.0%US$119.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XFOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XFOR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XFOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XFOR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XFOR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XFOR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XFOR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.72
US$4.05
+465.3%
35.1%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$0.70
US$4.05
+478.0%
35.1%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$0.78
US$4.12
+430.6%
35.9%US$5.50US$1.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$0.59
US$4.12
+598.5%
35.9%US$5.50US$1.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$1.01
US$4.12
+307.6%
35.9%US$5.50US$1.00n/a7
May ’25US$1.11
US$4.12
+272.6%
35.9%US$5.50US$1.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$1.41
US$3.27
+131.8%
36.6%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$1.01
US$3.26
+223.2%
36.7%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$0.84
US$3.26
+288.6%
36.7%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Jan ’25US$0.84
US$3.23
+285.0%
37.6%US$5.00US$1.00n/a7
Dec ’24US$0.74
US$3.45
+366.2%
23.0%US$5.00US$2.60n/a8
Nov ’24US$0.75
US$3.51
+367.5%
23.2%US$5.00US$2.60n/a8
Oct ’24US$1.09
US$3.51
+222.2%
23.2%US$5.00US$2.60n/a8
Sep ’24US$1.30
US$3.51
+170.2%
23.2%US$5.00US$2.60US$0.708
Aug ’24US$1.74
US$3.76
+116.2%
20.5%US$5.00US$2.60US$0.788
Jul ’24US$1.94
US$3.76
+93.9%
20.5%US$5.00US$2.60US$0.598
Jun ’24US$2.22
US$3.66
+64.7%
21.0%US$5.00US$2.60US$1.017
May ’24US$1.57
US$3.50
+122.9%
17.1%US$4.50US$3.00US$1.117
Apr ’24US$0.87
US$4.07
+368.0%
32.4%US$7.00US$3.00US$1.417
Mar ’24US$0.95
US$4.79
+403.8%
28.4%US$7.00US$3.00US$1.017
Feb ’24US$1.04
US$4.79
+360.2%
28.4%US$7.00US$3.00US$0.847
Jan ’24US$0.99
US$4.79
+381.9%
28.4%US$7.00US$3.00US$0.847
Dec ’23US$1.44
US$5.90
+309.7%
13.6%US$7.00US$5.00US$0.745
Nov ’23US$1.89
US$5.40
+185.7%
23.0%US$7.00US$3.50US$0.755
Oct ’23US$1.71
US$5.40
+215.8%
23.0%US$7.00US$3.50US$1.095
Sep ’23US$1.04
US$6.17
+492.9%
33.3%US$10.00US$3.50US$1.306

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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