Grifols, S.A.

NasdaqGS:GRFS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.5b

Grifols Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Grifols is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.4% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.7% in 3 years.

Key information

20.4%

Earnings growth rate

21.44%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth25.2%
Revenue growth rate5.6%
Future return on equity11.66%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Dec 08

Grifols: Positive/Neutral Scenario Posits An Upside

Summary Grifols, S.A. has executed a turnaround, with Q3 '25 results confirming improved fundamentals, reduced leverage, and restored dividend, supporting a renewed 'Buy' rating. GRFS now trades at a normalized P/E of 14-15x, but forward multiples drop below 9x, offering significant upside if growth forecasts materialize. Operational improvements include 7%+ revenue growth, double-digit EBITDA gains, positive FCF, and leverage below 4.3x, with further refinancing underway. My GRFS share price target reflects double-digit annualized upside potential, underpinned by forecasted EPS growth and multiple expansion, despite lingering competitive and leverage risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 23

Grifols: A Market Setback Turns Into Buying Opportunity

Summary Grifols, a Spanish multinational specializing in plasma-derived therapies, is undervalued due to historical mismanagement but holds a strong market position with significant competitive advantages. New management has implemented an operational improvement plan, showing positive results in 2024, including record revenues, improved EBITDA margins, and increased free cash flow. Key risks include potential U.S. immigration policies affecting plasma supply and the emergence of recombinant protein substitutes, which could erode revenue by 2028. The business is poised for growth with a strategic plan targeting revenue growth, improved margins, and significant free cash flow generation, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 27

Grifols: Looking At The Longer-Term 2025-2027 Upside After No Sale

Summary Grifols remains a strong long-term investment due to its leading position in the plasma industry and improving financial fundamentals, despite short-term volatility and lack of a dividend. The company's revenue and EBITDA growth, improved leverage ratio, and significant liquidity highlight its resilience and potential for future profitability. Grifols' valuation is attractive, with a potential upside to €20/share, driven by EPS growth and market expansion in plasma-derived products. I maintain a "BUY" rating for Grifols, expecting a significant return on investment over the next 1-4 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 29

Grifols: More Attractive Than In A Very Long Time

Summary I don't divest unless the fundamental thesis changes; Grifols' buyout offer from Brookfield Asset Management is undervalued, so I maintain my "Buy" stance. Despite Brookfield's offer, I believe Grifols is worth more, as supported by recent 3Q24 results and the transaction committee's recommendation. The transaction committee advises against accepting the €10.5/share offer, aligning with my view that Grifols' real value is higher. This situation is instructive for valuation investors, demonstrating the importance of assessing a company's true worth beyond buyout offers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 03

Grifols: Here Is Why It's Still A 'Buy' Even If Price Goes Down

Summary Grifols, S.A. is undervalued and worth more than its current market valuation, making it a strong buy even without a potential Brookfield buyout. The company leads the global plasma market, with significant growth in immunoglobulin and albumin segments, and has a robust infrastructure and geographical reach. Despite facing competition and emerging technologies, Grifols' fundamentals are solid, with impressive 2024 earnings forecasts and improving margins and leverage. The lack of a dividend is a downside, but the potential for significant returns based on historical P/E ratios makes Grifols a speculative “Buy”. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 16

Grifols: Stay On The Sidelines

Summary Grifols leverage and governance concerns are primarily addressed. The company confirms discussions around a potential combined PE/family bid offer. Still, there is a high debt and negligible FCF generation to consider. We remain neutral. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 07

Grifols: Why To Watch From The Sidelines

Summary Grifols, a major player in global plasma extraction and processing, has experienced a significant 43% decline in stock price in 2024 following a bearish report from Gotham. KPMG and the Spanish regulator have offered a more favorable perspective based on Grifols’ 2023 results, suggesting that while the company’s structure warrants caution, it is not without value. For investors seeking value, the question is: Is there enough margin of safety? A closer examination reveals that Grifols is facing several challenges compared to its competitors, compounded by debt. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 05

Grifols: Q4 Was Positive, Still Too Many Question Marks

Summary Grifols faces new accusations from the hedge fund Gotham City. Gotham City questions loans and outgoing flows recorded in Grifols' financial report, as well as the role of Scranton Enterprises. Grifols disclosed a lack of FCF generation in 2024. We are neutral, given a soft outlook for the current year. On a positive note, Grifols confirmed the Shanghai RAAS equity stake divestment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 10

Grifols: I've Read The Short-Seller Report, And I Mostly Disagree

Summary Grifols' position in the pharma industry has dropped due to a short-seller report, causing its stock to decline. The report questions the accounting treatment of M&As and consolidation of entities in Grifols' filings. I believe that the allegations in the report are not significant enough to warrant a 20% drop in the company's stock and plans to wait for a reaction before adding more to their stake. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:GRFS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20288,6958569941,4348
12/31/20278,2067048041,17511
12/31/20267,6895115068309
3/31/20267,4384155961,021N/A
12/31/20257,5244026241,047N/A
9/30/20257,5183736991,131N/A
6/30/20257,4462976961,105N/A
3/31/20257,3721958041,203N/A
12/31/20247,212157530902N/A
9/30/20247,006161209527N/A
6/30/20246,81114973387N/A
3/31/20246,656189-187105N/A
12/31/20236,59242-93217N/A
9/30/20236,53523-217119N/A
6/30/20236,479-5-496-123N/A
3/31/20236,35847-485-107N/A
1/1/20236,064185-394-1N/A
9/30/20225,549149-27250N/A
6/30/20225,20766-36289N/A
3/31/20225,016112137454N/A
12/31/20214,933189282597N/A
9/30/20215,044361400727N/A
6/30/20215,199667597909N/A
3/31/20215,2315628471,183N/A
12/31/20205,3406197481,110N/A
9/30/20205,3926876631,081N/A
6/30/20205,353557551964N/A
3/31/20205,235697425842N/A
12/31/20195,099625N/A569N/A
9/30/20194,961552N/A668N/A
6/30/20194,790565N/A634N/A
3/31/20194,620568N/A477N/A
12/31/20184,487597N/A737N/A
9/30/20184,332699N/A680N/A
6/30/20184,246704N/A712N/A
3/31/20184,279672N/A789N/A
12/31/20174,318663N/A842N/A
9/30/20174,348571N/A751N/A
6/30/20174,291559N/A765N/A
3/31/20174,153554N/A640N/A
12/31/20164,050545N/A553N/A
9/30/20164,014537N/A683N/A
6/30/20163,986535N/A652N/A
3/31/20163,985529N/A767N/A
12/31/20153,935532N/A743N/A
9/30/20153,789533N/A755N/A
6/30/20153,645507N/A836N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GRFS's forecast earnings growth (20.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: GRFS's earnings (20.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GRFS's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GRFS's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GRFS's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GRFS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 08:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Grifols, S.A. is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Luis ArredondoBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Jaime EscribanoBanco Santander