GRAIL, Inc.

NasdaqGS:GRAL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

GRAIL Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 0/6

GRAIL does not have a record of paying a dividend.

Key information

n/a

Dividend yield

-16.0%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield-16.0%
Future Dividend Yieldn/a
Dividend Growthn/a
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ration/a

Recent dividend and buyback updates

No updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article May 08

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For GRAIL, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRAL) After Its First-Quarter Results

A week ago, GRAIL, Inc. ( NASDAQ:GRAL ) came out with a strong set of first-quarter numbers that could potentially lead...
Narrative Update May 07

GRAL: Future Returns Will Reflect Trial Outcomes And Reimbursement Progress

Narrative Update on GRAIL Analysts have trimmed their average price target for GRAIL by incorporating lower profit margin assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E of about 101x, following mixed reactions to recent study readouts and reimbursement uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on GRAIL reflect a split tape, with some firms trimming price targets after the NHS Galleri readout and reimbursement uncertainty, while others still see room for upside based on the company’s test portfolio and addressable market.
Narrative Update Apr 19

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On Upcoming FDA Approval Decision

Analysts have trimmed GRAIL's average price target to about $67.71 from $72.40. They cited updated models that factor in recent price target cuts following the NHS-Galleri topline readout and lingering uncertainty around broad reimbursement, even as revenue growth and margin assumptions are slightly adjusted.
Seeking Alpha Apr 08

GRAIL: NHS-Galleri Trial Results Are A Foul Ball, Not A Strikeout

Summary GRAIL, Inc. (formerly an Illumina subsidiary) remains a buy despite missing the NHS-Galleri trial’s primary endpoint. Galleri’s commercial viability is underscored by 31% YoY U.S. revenue growth and expanding partnerships, including Samsung. A strong cash position ($904.4M) supports operations through 2030, offsetting trial extension and sales force expansion costs. Revised TAM-based valuation implies $78/share (~43% upside), reflecting immense long-term potential for liquid biopsy adoption. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 05

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On Upcoming Regulatory And Coverage Milestones

Narrative Update on GRAIL The analyst price target for GRAIL has been reduced by $11.00. This change reflects recent cuts across firms citing the NHS Galleri study missing its primary endpoint and greater uncertainty around broad reimbursement, even as analysts still reference GRAIL's position in multi cancer early detection and upcoming regulatory and coverage milestones.
Narrative Update Mar 21

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On NHS Study Outcome

Narrative Update: GRAIL Analyst Price Target Shift The updated analyst fair value estimate for GRAIL has moved from $88.00 to $83.40 as analysts factor in lower published price targets following the NHS Galleri study missing its primary endpoint and increased uncertainty around broad reimbursement, while still modeling higher revenue, stronger profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a mix of optimism and caution around GRAIL, with several firms revising price targets after the NHS Galleri study update and recent quarterly results.
New Narrative Mar 08

Clinical Trial Setbacks And Reimbursement Delays Will Eventually Support Early Cancer Detection Potential

Catalysts About GRAIL GRAIL focuses on multi cancer early detection through its Galleri screening test and related clinical programs. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Mar 06

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On NHS Study And FDA Decision

The analyst fair value estimate for Grail has been trimmed from $114.50 to $88.00 as analysts factor in lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions following the NHS Galleri readout and increased uncertainty around broad reimbursement. Analyst Commentary Street research on Grail has shifted meaningfully following the NHS Galleri top line readout, with several firms reducing price targets and reassessing the risk and reward profile around Galleri adoption and reimbursement.
New Narrative Feb 22

NHS Trial Momentum And Medicare Pathway Will Support Long Term Multi Cancer Screening Adoption

Catalysts About GRAIL GRAIL develops and commercializes Galleri, a blood based multi cancer early detection test aimed at finding cancers at earlier stages. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Feb 20

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On Upcoming NHS Trial Readout

The average analyst price target for Grail has edged down by $0.50 to about $114.50, as analysts balance optimism around upcoming trial readouts and potential regulatory milestones with a more cautious stance after the stock's very large move earlier in 2025 and ongoing execution risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Grail reflects a mix of enthusiasm for its position in multi cancer early detection and caution around valuation and execution timelines.
Narrative Update Feb 04

GRAL: Future Returns Will Depend On NHS Readout And Execution Consistency

Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price target on GRAIL from $105 to $115, citing refreshed models that reflect updated assumptions for growth, margins and future P/E. Recent research highlights steady execution, the long term Galleri opportunity, and the absence of thesis changing developments in recent results.
Narrative Update Jan 20

GRAL: Future Returns Will Hinge On NHS Trial And Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target on GRAIL up to $110 from $85, citing steady execution, a modest Q4 revenue beat, and the longer term opportunity for the Galleri test, despite the inherent risks that come with new technologies. Analyst Commentary Analysts see GRAIL's recent results as an incremental step rather than a major reset, with views split between confidence in execution and caution around key milestones like the NHS Galleri trial readout.
Narrative Update Jan 06

GRAL: Long Term MCED Opportunity And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target range for GRAIL to about $85 from around $38, citing updated post-Q3 estimates and what they view as a significant long-term commercial opportunity for the Galleri multi-cancer early detection test, while also highlighting the risks associated with this type of novel technology. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the increase in the price target range to about $85 as a reflection of what they view as a sizeable commercial runway for the Galleri multi cancer early detection test over the long term.
Narrative Update Dec 16

GRAL: Future MCED Policy Shifts Will Drive Upside Despite Execution Risks

Analysts have raised their price target on GRAIL to $105 from $96.67, citing updated post earnings estimates and growing confidence in the long term commercial potential of the Galleri multi cancer early detection platform, despite ongoing technology and regulatory risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a meaningful reset in expectations for GRAIL, with multiple price target increases grounded in updated post earnings models and a clearer view of Galleri's commercial runway.
Narrative Update Dec 01

GRAL: Risks From Clinical Data and Execution Will Remain a Key Concern

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from approximately $90 to $97 per share, citing strengthened confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects. This outlook is driven by recent developments and opportunities in multi-cancer early detection.
Narrative Update Nov 17

GRAL: Confidence Will Increase With Upcoming Clinical Data and Legislative Progress

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from $61.50 to $90.00. This change reflects increased confidence in the company’s long-term prospects and growth potential, following recent updates and a positive outlook on its multi-cancer early detection technology.
Narrative Update Nov 01

GRAL: Execution Risks Remain High Amid PATHFINDER 2 Progress And Regulatory Shifts

Analysts have raised GRAIL's fair value estimate from $56.50 to $61.50 per share, citing greater confidence in the company's platforms, ongoing clinical milestones, and evolving market opportunities as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight growing confidence in GRAIL's platforms.
Narrative Update Oct 18

FDA Approval And NHS Studies Will Transform Cancer Detection

Analysts have raised their price target on GRAIL significantly, from $43 to $75. They cite growing confidence in the company's platforms, anticipated improvements in test performance, and the potential impact of future legislative changes as reasons for this adjustment.
Narrative Update Oct 04

FDA Approval And NHS Studies Will Transform Cancer Detection

Analysts have raised their price target for GRAIL from $40.50 to $56.50. They cite strengthened confidence in the company's platforms, positive expectations for future study results, and anticipation of supportive legislative developments.
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New Narrative Jun 15

Overvaluation Risks And NHS Trials Will Spur Future Resilience

Market optimism may overestimate Galleri's near-term adoption and pricing power due to regulatory, payer, and competitive pressures.
Seeking Alpha Jan 22

GRAIL: Cash Burn And Commercialization Timeline Are Problematic

Summary GRAIL is a developer of blood-based cancer tests and is initially targeting the multi-cancer early detection market. This market will be large due to the prevalence of cancer, along with the lack of screening options for some cancers and poor compliance rates with current screening methods. GRAIL's flagship product, Galleri, has enormous potential but faces competition and is years away from generating meaningful revenue. Regulatory approval and reimbursement are critical, with key trials ongoing in support of this. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Dec 24

Here's Why We're Watching GRAIL's (NASDAQ:GRAL) Cash Burn Situation

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com...
Seeking Alpha Dec 16

Grail: Lack Of Near Term Catalyst; Market Likely To Lose Interest Soon

Summary Grail's net cash balance of $25.71 per share suggests potential undervaluation as it trades at ~$21 per share. However, this cash balance is already part of ongoing expenditure. The risk of failing current NHS trials further complicates the investment outlook. Given these factors, entry at current prices is not favorable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 24

GRAIL: Post-Spinoff, Illumina Maintains Control And Incentive To Support Success

Summary GRAIL Inc., spun off from Illumina Inc. in June 2024, faces financial challenges but holds significant growth potential with its Galleri cancer-screening test. Despite a strong balance sheet, GRAIL's Q2 2024 operational loss was $1.64 billion, primarily due to non-cash goodwill and intangible impairments. GRAIL's restructuring plan aims to cut costs, focus on Galleri sales, and extend its cash runway to 2028, supported by Illumina's continued involvement. GRAIL's revenue growth hinges on FDA approval and insurance reimbursement for Galleri, potentially transforming cancer detection and driving substantial future sales. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 09

GRAIL's Potential Turnaround: Seeking FDA Approval For Galleri

Summary GRAIL's Galleri test detects over 50 cancer types early, potentially saving lives, and is progressing towards FDA approval and broader insurance coverage. The company, a spinoff from Illumina, has significant backing and aims to reduce costs while expanding its market presence and regulatory validation. Despite high cash burn, GRAIL's strong cash reserves and strategic focus on FDA approval and Medicare reimbursement present substantial upside potential. Additionally, management’s cost-cutting measures, including a 30% workforce reduction, aim to extend GRAIL's cash runway. Given its promising technology and current valuation below cash value, I rate GRAL a speculative "buy" for investors who understand its unique risks and opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GRAL's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GRAL's dividend payments have been increasing.


Dividend Yield vs Market

GRAIL Dividend Yield vs Market
How does GRAL dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (GRAL)n/a
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Biotechs)2.5%
Analyst forecast (GRAL) (up to 3 years)n/a

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GRAL's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GRAL's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate GRAL's payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as GRAL has not reported any payouts.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/11 00:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/11 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

GRAIL, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Catherine Ramsey SchulteBaird
Kyle MiksonCanaccord Genuity
Subhalaxmi NambiGuggenheim Securities, LLC