Erasca Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Erasca's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 67.2% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 9.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -74.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.7%

Earnings growth rate

9.7%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	27.2%
Revenue growth rate	67.2%
Future return on equity	-74.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	07 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Situation

Sep 23

Erasca adds 10% ahead of R&D Day

Sep 07

Erasca, Eli Lilly to collaborate on trial to evaluate combo treatment for two cancers

Jul 18

We're Not Very Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Rate

Apr 12

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Situation

Dec 28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:ERAS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	18	-219	-147	-214	3
12/31/2026	N/A	-205	-170	-180	4
12/31/2025	1	-171	-134	-135	6
12/31/2024	N/A	-168	-132	-111	6
9/30/2024	N/A	-159	-132	-110	N/A
6/30/2024	N/A	-158	-134	-111	N/A
3/31/2024	N/A	-127	-109	-108	N/A
12/31/2023	N/A	-125	-123	-101	N/A
9/30/2023	N/A	-231	-125	-103	N/A
6/30/2023	N/A	-236	-127	-103	N/A
3/31/2023	N/A	-240	-132	-104	N/A
12/31/2022	N/A	-243	-120	-103	N/A
9/30/2022	N/A	-138	-121	-99	N/A
6/30/2022	N/A	-149	-125	-99	N/A
3/31/2022	N/A	-141	-112	-90	N/A
12/31/2021	N/A	-123	-98	-80	N/A
9/30/2021	N/A	-154	-103	-70	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-119	-81	-54	N/A
3/31/2021	N/A	-96	-81	-43	N/A
12/31/2020	N/A	-102	-71	-33	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ERAS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: ERAS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: ERAS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ERAS's revenue (67.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ERAS's revenue (67.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ERAS is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/20 17:35
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Erasca, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Alec Stranahan	BofA Global Research
Naureen Quibria	Capital One Securities, Inc.
Chris Shibutani	Goldman Sachs

Erasca Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 11% to US$5.00

Price target decreased by 11% to US$6.25

Price target decreased by 7.4% to US$9.00

Price target decreased by 19% to US$11.50

Price target decreased by 9.3% to US$15.57

Price target decreased to US$18.60

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 11% to US$5.00

We Think Erasca (NASDAQ:ERAS) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Erasca: New Focus After Restructuring, But Need More Differentiation

Erasca, Inc. Initiates SEACRAFT-2 Pivotal Phase 3 Trial Evaluating Naporafenib Plus Trametinib in Patients with NRAS-Mutant Melanoma

Independent Director recently bought US$182k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 11% to US$6.25

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Erasca, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $159.999999 million.

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Erasca, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 20, 2024

Insufficient new directors

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Erasca, Inc. announced that it expects to receive $45 million in funding

Is Erasca (NASDAQ:ERAS) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Erasca, Inc. Announces Two Clinical Trial Collaboration and Supply Agreements for Trametinib to Evaluate Naporafenib Combination in SEACRAFT-1 and SEACRAFT-2 Trials

Erasca, Inc. Receives FDA Fast Track Designation for Pan-RAF Inhibitor Naporafenib in Patients with Advanced NRAS-Mutated Melanoma

Co-Founder recently bought US$1.7m worth of stock

Price target decreased by 7.4% to US$9.00

Erasca, Inc. Achieves Key Milestones for Naporafenib and ERAS-801 Programs and Extends Cash Runway

We Think Erasca (NASDAQ:ERAS) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New minor risk - Share price stability

Co-Founder recently bought US$2.0m worth of stock

New minor risk - Share price stability

Companies Like Erasca (NASDAQ:ERAS) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

Co-Founder recently bought US$275k worth of stock

New minor risk - Share price stability

Price target decreased by 19% to US$11.50

Erasca, Inc. Provides Update on Clinical Program for ERK Inhibitor ERAS-007 and Refines Pipeline

Erasca, Inc. Announces Promising Preliminary Data for ERAS-007 Combinations in Patients with Gastrointestinal Malignancies as Part of Two Poster Presentations That Will Be Presented At the American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting in Chicago, Illinois

Erasca, Inc. Further Strengthens Business Leadership with Two Key Promotions

Independent Director recently bought US$55k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 9.3% to US$15.57

Co-Founder recently bought US$284k worth of stock

We Think Erasca (NASDAQ:ERAS) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Co-Founder recently bought US$231k worth of stock

Co-Founder recently bought US$200k worth of stock

Price target decreased to US$18.60

Erasca, Inc. Announces FDA Clearance of IND Application for CNS-Penetrant KRAS G12C Inhibitor ERAS-3490 in KRAS G12C-Mutated Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors

Erasca forms clinical trial partnership with Pfizer for cancer therapy

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Situation

Erasca, Inc. Announces Preliminary Data for Eras-007 and Eras-601 in Braf-Driven and Ras/Mapk-Altered Solid Tumors

Erasca adds 10% ahead of R&D Day

Erasca, Inc. Announces Clinical Trial Collaboration and Supply Agreement with Eli Lilly and Company to Evaluate ERAS-601 and Cetuximab Combination

Erasca, Eli Lilly to collaborate on trial to evaluate combo treatment for two cancers

Erasca, Inc.(NasdaqGS:ERAS) dropped from Russell 2000 Growth Index

Erasca, Inc. Announces Trial to Evaluate ERAS-007 in Combination with KRAS G12C Inhibitor in KRAS-Driven Cancers

Erasca, Inc. Announces Key Appointments

Erasca Appoints Jean Liu to its Board of Directors

We're Not Very Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Rate

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Erasca's (NASDAQ:ERAS) Cash Burn Situation

Erasca, Inc. Announces FDA Clearance of IND Application for Eras-801 in Glioblastoma Multiforme

Erasca, Inc. Announces First Patient Dosed in HERKULES-3, A Phase 1B/2 Gastrointestinal Cancer Master Protocol Evaluating ERAS-007 in Multiple Combinations

Erasca Announces First Patient Dosed in HERKULES-2 Phase 1b/2 Lung Cancer Master Protocol Evaluating ERAS-007 in Multiple Combinations

Erasca, Inc. has completed an IPO in the amount of $300 million.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources