Stock Analysis

Is Dynavax Technologies (NASDAQ:DVAX) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGS:DVAX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Dynavax Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:DVAX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Dynavax Technologies

What Is Dynavax Technologies's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Dynavax Technologies had US$221.0m of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$518.2m in cash, so it actually has US$297.1m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:DVAX Debt to Equity History September 12th 2022

How Strong Is Dynavax Technologies' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Dynavax Technologies had liabilities of US$345.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$255.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$518.2m and US$245.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has US$163.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Dynavax Technologies has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Dynavax Technologies boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Better yet, Dynavax Technologies grew its EBIT by 4,023% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dynavax Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Dynavax Technologies has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last two years, Dynavax Technologies generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Dynavax Technologies has net cash of US$297.1m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 90% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$142m. So is Dynavax Technologies's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Dynavax Technologies (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.