Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Optimistic We'll See A Profit From CureVac N.V. (NASDAQ:CVAC)

NasdaqGM:CVAC
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CureVac N.V. (NASDAQ:CVAC) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. CureVac N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing various transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). The company’s loss has recently broadened since it announced a €260m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of €278m, moving it further away from breakeven. As path to profitability is the topic on CureVac's investors mind, we've decided to gauge market sentiment. We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

Check out our latest analysis for CureVac

According to the 6 industry analysts covering CureVac, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2023, before turning a profit of €180m in 2024. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 12 months from now or less. At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 32%, which signals high confidence from analysts. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGM:CVAC Earnings Per Share Growth November 27th 2024

Underlying developments driving CureVac's growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, but, bear in mind that generally a biotech has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the product type and stage of development the company is in. This means that a high growth rate is not unusual, especially if the company is currently in an investment period.

Before we wrap up, there’s one aspect worth mentioning. CureVac currently has no debt on its balance sheet, which is quite unusual for a cash-burning biotech, which typically has high debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of CureVac which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at CureVac, take a look at CureVac's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of important factors you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is CureVac worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CureVac is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on CureVac’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.