Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Buying CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CTMX) Revenues

Published
NasdaqGS:CTMX

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CTMX) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.5x and even P/S higher than 74x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for CytomX Therapeutics

NasdaqGS:CTMX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 26th 2024

What Does CytomX Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, CytomX Therapeutics has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CytomX Therapeutics.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CytomX Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 50%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 80% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 18% per year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 147% each year.

With this information, we are not surprised that CytomX Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does CytomX Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that CytomX Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for CytomX Therapeutics (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.