CG Oncology, Inc.

NasdaqGS:CGON Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

CG Oncology Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

CG Oncology is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 60.1% and 58.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 60.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -13.6% in 3 years.

Key information

60.1%

Earnings growth rate

60.14%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth25.2%
Revenue growth rate58.9%
Future return on equity-13.57%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated15 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Apr 05

CG Oncology: Passing A Red Line For What I Would Call A Reasonable Valuation (Rating Downgrade)

Summary CG Oncology has seen significant stock appreciation but now enters a holding pattern with reduced near-term upside potential. Cretostimogene grenadenorepvec remains the lead asset, targeting non-metastatic bladder cancer with pivotal data and a BLA submission expected in 2025-2026. A key upcoming catalyst is the PIVOT-006 topline readout, the first randomized registrational study in intermediate-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. With a strengthened balance sheet and recent fundraising, CGON projects a cash runway extending into the first half of 2029. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Jul 16

We're Not Very Worried About CG Oncology's (NASDAQ:CGON) Cash Burn Rate

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 10

A First Take On CG Oncology

Summary CG Oncology's stock has dropped 40% since its IPO peak, driven by profit-taking and competitive concerns despite promising Phase 3 data for Cretostimogene. Cretostimogene shows superior complete response rates compared to current NMIBC therapies, with a 75% anytime CR and 97% one-year progression-free survival. The competitive landscape includes ImmunityBio's Anktiva and J&J's Gemzar, but CG's clean one-drug profile and strong data make it a potential market leader. A first analysis around CG Oncology follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 13

CG Oncology: Positive Phase 3 Outcome Could Lead To BLA Of Cretostimogene

Summary CG Oncology, Inc. reported positive phase 3 BOND-003 results for Cretostimogene in treating BCG-unresponsive NMIBC, presented at the SUO 25th Annual Meeting. The company aims to use Cretostimogene as a backbone therapy for NMIBC and has shown increased response rates when combined with KEYTRUDA. CG Oncology plans to expand Cretostimogene's use to intermediate-risk NMIBC patients with the phase 3 PIVOT-006 trial, targeting enrollment completion in 1H 2026. The global bladder cancer market size is estimated to reach $8.2 billion by 2032. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 26

CG Oncology: Promising Data, But Looks Expensive

Summary CG Oncology's bladder cancer molecule, cretostimogene, showed high success with a 75.2% complete response rate in a phase 3 monotherapy study. Cretostimogene, an oncolytic immunotherapy, works by selectively replicating in cancer cells and encoding GM-CSF to activate the immune system. The market potential for cretostimogene is significant, targeting BCG-unresponsive NMIBC patients with a multi-billion dollar opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 09

CG Oncology Bringing Undervalued Innovation To Bladder Cancer

Summary CG Oncology's cretostimogene shows high potential to disrupt the NMIBC market with promising efficacy and safety data. The company is initially targeting high-risk NMIBC patients who no longer respond to the BCG vaccine, but intermediate-risk patients could bring the addressable market above 60,000. Cretostimogene is the company's only asset and there is likely to be significant competition, most likely from Johnson & Johnson. Peak market share of 30% and a $300K sales price at peak can support over $3B in potential revenue and a $54 fair value today. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 06

CG Oncology: ASCO Play And Top-Line Data End Of 2024 Could Drive Further Value

Summary CG Oncology, Inc. achieved positive results from its phase 3 BOND-003 study using cretostimogene for the treatment of high-risk BCG unresponsive NMIBC patients; Final data expected end of 2024. Data from phase 3 BOND-003 study turning out positive, could possibly mean an ability for the company to file a New Drug Application to the FDA in 1st half of 2025. A phase 2 study has been initiated, where the combination of cretostimogene + Keytruda is being used to target high-risk BCG-unresponsive NMIBC patients; Data to be released at ASCO 2024. The global bladder cancer market size is projected to reach $7.52 billion by 2030. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CGON - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028458-12106-2712
12/31/202790-254-222-15814
12/31/202612-236-237-19014
3/31/20265-187-160-160N/A
12/31/20254-161-132-132N/A
9/30/20252-151-117-117N/A
6/30/20251-128-94-94N/A
3/31/20251-106-82-82N/A
12/31/20241-88-79-79N/A
9/30/20241-79-73-73N/A
3/31/20241-72-64-64N/A
12/31/20230-68-46-46N/A
9/30/20230-57-38-38N/A
12/31/20220-44-30-30N/A
12/31/202110-18-14-14N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CGON is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: CGON is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: CGON is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CGON's revenue (58.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CGON's revenue (58.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CGON is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/18 00:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/18 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

CG Oncology, Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alec StranahanBofA Global Research
Joshua SchimmerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Corinne JohnsonGoldman Sachs