CymaBay Therapeutics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

CymaBay Therapeutics is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 54.8% and 50.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 54.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -50.1% in 3 years.

Key information

54.8%

Earnings growth rate

54.5%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth	24.0%
Revenue growth rate	50.9%
Future return on equity	-50.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	29 Feb 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBAY) Analysts Just Slashed Next Year's Revenue Estimates By 17%

Feb 15

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBAY) Are Surging Higher

Dec 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:CBAY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	274	-46	11	21	7
12/31/2025	115	-158	-97	-116	8
12/31/2024	2	-175	-181	-160	4
12/31/2023	31	-105	-73	-73	N/A
9/30/2023	31	-90	-64	-64	N/A
6/30/2023	31	-81	-56	-55	N/A
3/31/2023	N/A	-107	-53	-52	N/A
12/31/2022	N/A	-106	-84	-84	N/A
9/30/2022	N/A	-106	-80	-80	N/A
6/30/2022	N/A	-104	-78	-77	N/A
3/31/2022	N/A	-100	-74	-74	N/A
12/31/2021	N/A	-90	-70	-69	N/A
9/30/2021	N/A	-79	-70	-70	N/A
6/30/2021	N/A	-68	-62	-62	N/A
3/31/2021	N/A	-55	-51	-51	N/A
12/31/2020	N/A	-51	-45	-45	N/A
9/30/2020	N/A	-65	-58	-58	N/A
6/30/2020	N/A	-80	-74	-74	N/A
3/31/2020	N/A	-93	-90	-90	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-103	-98	-98	N/A
9/30/2019	N/A	-93	-90	-89	N/A
6/30/2019	N/A	-85	-83	-82	N/A
3/31/2019	N/A	-79	-72	-71	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-73	-55	-55	N/A
9/30/2018	5	-58	-41	-41	N/A
6/30/2018	5	-48	-31	-31	N/A
3/31/2018	5	-39	-24	-24	N/A
12/31/2017	10	-28	-20	-20	N/A
9/30/2017	5	-29	N/A	-19	N/A
6/30/2017	5	-27	N/A	-19	N/A
3/31/2017	5	-25	N/A	-19	N/A
12/31/2016	N/A	-27	N/A	-23	N/A
9/30/2016	N/A	-26	N/A	-23	N/A
6/30/2016	N/A	-26	N/A	-24	N/A
3/31/2016	N/A	-20	N/A	-23	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-16	N/A	-23	N/A
9/30/2015	N/A	-22	N/A	-26	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-22	N/A	-23	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-24	N/A	-22	N/A
12/31/2014	N/A	-32	N/A	-21	N/A
9/30/2014	N/A	208	N/A	-17	N/A
6/30/2014	N/A	257	N/A	-14	N/A
3/31/2014	N/A	240	N/A	-11	N/A
12/31/2013	N/A	244	N/A	-8	N/A
9/30/2013	0	11	N/A	-5	N/A
6/30/2013	3	-36	N/A	-8	N/A
3/31/2013	3	-23	N/A	-10	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CBAY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: CBAY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: CBAY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CBAY's revenue (50.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CBAY's revenue (50.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CBAY is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/03/21 16:06
End of Day Share Price	2024/03/21 00:00
Earnings	2023/12/31
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Mayank Mamtani	B. Riley Securities, Inc.
Julian Harrison	BTIG
John Tanner	Cantor Fitzgerald & Co.

CymaBay Therapeutics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

No longer forecast to breakeven

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$31.07

Forecast to breakeven in 2026

Price target increased by 7.5% to US$24.82

Price target increased by 17% to US$21.27

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 156%

Recent updates

CymaBay Therapeutics Files Form 15

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NasdaqGS:GILD) completed the acquisition of CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. (NasdaqGS:CBAY).

President exercised options to buy US$4.5m worth of stock.

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Announces European Medicines Agency Accepts for Review the Marketing Authorization Application for Seladelpar for the Treatment of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

No longer forecast to breakeven

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBAY) Analysts Just Slashed Next Year's Revenue Estimates By 17%

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$31.07

CymaBay Announces FDA Acceptance of NDA and Priority Review for Seladelpar for the Treatment of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Forecast to breakeven in 2026

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CBAY) Are Surging Higher

Cymabay Therapeutics, Inc. and Lewis Stuart, Chief Commercial Officer, Mutually Agrees on Cease to Be an Officer and Employee Effective December 29, 2023

Cymabay Therapeutics, Inc. Submits New Drug Application to FDA for Seladelpar for the Treatment of Primary Biliary Cholangitis

President exercised options and sold US$973k worth of stock

President notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target increased by 7.5% to US$24.82

New minor risk - Profitability

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Publication of Two-Year Safety and Efficacy Results of Seladelpar in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

President exercised options and sold US$597k worth of stock

General Counsel notifies of intention to sell stock

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $224.999939 million.

Price target increased by 17% to US$21.27

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 156%

Price target increased by 8.0% to US$17.64

New minor risk - Profitability

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 10, 2023

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 15%

Price target increased by 8.5% to US$15.56

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target increased by 8.2% to US$14.67

New minor risk - Share price stability

Insider notifies of intention to sell stock

General Counsel notifies of intention to sell stock

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 40%

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 15, 2023

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Appoints Harish Shantharam as Chief Financial Officer

Executive Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 24%

Price target increased by 11% to US$13.56

Price target increased by 8.1% to US$11.63

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $84.999785 million.

CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

CymaBay Therapeutics Presents Additional Analyses from Clinical Studies of Seladelpar for Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

CymaBay Therapeutics GAAP EPS of -$0.31 misses by $0.01

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

Cymabay Completes Enrollment for the Response Global Phase 3 Study Evaluating Seladelpar for Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

Is CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

CymaBay: Long-Term Potential Based On Prior PBC Trial Results

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc.(NasdaqGS:CBAY) dropped from Russell 2000 Dynamic Index

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Presents Positive PBC Data at the International Liver Congress 2022

President recently bought US$100k worth of stock

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Presents New Findings That Seladelpar Treatment of PBC Patients for Two Years Predicts Improved Transplant-Free Survival

Price target decreased to US$10.50

Insufficient new directors

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. Appoints Éric Lefebvre to the Audit Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee of the Board

Is CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Chief Medical Officer recently bought US$61k worth of stock

Why I've Taken A 'Starter' Position In CymaBay Therapeutics

Is CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Cymabay Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Positive Data from Its Previously Completed Phase 2 Study and the Enhance Phase 3 Study of Seladelpar in Patients with Primary Biliary Cholangitis

We Think CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Independent Director has left the company

Price target decreased to US$12.00

CymaBay Therapeutics, Inc. to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Mar 25, 2021

New 90-day low: US$5.32

We're Hopeful That CymaBay Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CBAY) Will Use Its Cash Wisely