Stock Analysis

When Will Blueprint Medicines Corporation (NASDAQ:BPMC) Breakeven?

NasdaqGS:BPMC
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Blueprint Medicines Corporation (NASDAQ:BPMC) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Blueprint Medicines Corporation, a precision therapy company, develops medicines for genomically defined cancers and blood disorders in the United States and internationally. With the latest financial year loss of US$507m and a trailing-twelve-month loss of US$288m, the US$6.7b market-cap company alleviated its loss by moving closer towards its target of breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Blueprint Medicines' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

View our latest analysis for Blueprint Medicines

According to the 17 industry analysts covering Blueprint Medicines, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of US$62m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 2 years from today. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 66% year-on-year, on average, which signals high confidence from analysts. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

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NasdaqGS:BPMC Earnings Per Share Growth July 2nd 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Blueprint Medicines' upcoming projects, however, take into account that typically a biotech has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the product type and stage of development the company is in. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

Before we wrap up, there’s one issue worth mentioning. Blueprint Medicines currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of 163%. Typically, debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, and the company has considerably exceeded this. A higher level of debt requires more stringent capital management which increases the risk in investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Blueprint Medicines to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Blueprint Medicines' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of important aspects you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Blueprint Medicines worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Blueprint Medicines is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Blueprint Medicines’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Blueprint Medicines is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Blueprint Medicines is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com