Stock Analysis

BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:BNTX) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

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NasdaqGS:BNTX

BioNTech SE (NASDAQ:BNTX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.7% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, BioNTech may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 68x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for BioNTech

NasdaqGS:BNTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024

What Does BioNTech's Recent Performance Look Like?

BioNTech hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think BioNTech's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For BioNTech?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like BioNTech's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 71%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 65% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.3% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 142% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that BioNTech's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Despite BioNTech's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that BioNTech maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for BioNTech with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BioNTech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.