Avalo Therapeutics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Avalo Therapeutics's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 98.3% and 0.08% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 53% per annum.

Key information

-0.08%

Earnings growth rate

53.0%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	27.6%
Revenue growth rate	-98.3%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

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Mar 10

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Jan 18

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Jan 13

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Jan 07

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqCM:AVTX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	N/A	-55	N/A	-47	3
12/31/2025	N/A	-53	N/A	-45	3
12/31/2024	0	-132	N/A	-44	3
9/30/2024	1	-8	-37	-37	N/A
6/30/2024	1	-19	-32	-32	N/A
3/31/2024	1	-49	-27	-27	N/A
12/31/2023	2	-32	-31	-31	N/A
9/30/2023	2	-33	-32	-32	N/A
6/30/2023	17	-25	-19	-19	N/A
3/31/2023	17	-30	-21	-21	N/A
12/31/2022	18	-42	-27	-27	N/A
9/30/2022	17	-51	-40	-40	N/A
6/30/2022	4	-72	-62	-62	N/A
3/31/2022	6	-76	-69	-69	N/A
12/31/2021	5	-84	-71	-71	N/A
9/30/2021	7	-81	-68	-68	N/A
6/30/2021	6	-77	-64	-64	N/A
3/31/2021	4	-73	-53	-53	N/A
12/31/2020	7	-64	-41	-41	N/A
9/30/2020	6	-54	-28	-28	N/A
6/30/2020	7	-44	-24	-24	N/A
3/31/2020	7	-33	-22	-22	N/A
12/31/2019	7	-16	-19	-19	N/A
9/30/2019	0	-13	-20	-19	N/A
6/30/2019	2	-35	-13	-12	N/A
3/31/2019	5	-38	-7	-6	N/A
12/31/2018	7	-37	-4	-3	N/A
9/30/2018	16	-42	-4	-4	N/A
6/30/2018	37	2	N/A	16	N/A
3/31/2018	32	6	N/A	15	N/A
12/31/2017	28	8	N/A	13	N/A
9/30/2017	26	13	N/A	11	N/A
6/30/2017	1	-12	N/A	-11	N/A
3/31/2017	2	-13	N/A	-13	N/A
12/31/2016	1	-16	N/A	-15	N/A
9/30/2016	1	-18	N/A	-14	N/A
6/30/2016	1	-13	N/A	-13	N/A
3/31/2016	N/A	-12	N/A	-11	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-10	N/A	-10	N/A
9/30/2015	N/A	3	N/A	-11	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-2	N/A	-16	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-3	N/A	-16	N/A
12/31/2014	N/A	-4	N/A	-16	N/A
9/30/2014	N/A	-17	N/A	-14	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AVTX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: AVTX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: AVTX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AVTX's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-98.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AVTX's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-98.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AVTX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 01:25
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. is covered by 8 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Julian Harrison	BTIG
Louise Chen	Cantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Raghuram Selvaraju	H.C. Wainwright & Co.

Avalo Therapeutics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 93% to US$0.75

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 79%, EPS upgraded

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 79%, EPS upgraded

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 43%

Consensus forecasts updated

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Recent updates

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces First Patient Dosed in Phase 2 Lotus Trial of Avtx-009 for the Treatment of Hidradenitis Suppurativa

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Appoints Mittie Doyle as Chief Medical Officer

Avalo Therapeutics Announces Active IND for AVTX-009, an Anti-IL-1ß mAb, to Treat Hidradenitis Suppurativa

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Aug 13, 2024

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Appoints Paul Varki as Chief Legal Officer

Avalo Therapeutics Receives Notice from the Listing Qualifications Department of the Nasdaq Stock Market Regarding Stockholders' Equity Requirement

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Board Appointments

Hearings Panel Grants Avalo Therapeutics an Exception from Compliance with the MVLS Rule and the Bid Price Rule and Extension of Continued Listing Until December 29, 2023

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Dec 05, 2023

Nasdaq Determines to Delist Securities of Avalo Therapeutics

AUG Therapeutics, LLC entered into a purchase agreement to acquire rights, title and interest in, assets relating to AVTX-800 Series from Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (NasdaqCM:AVTX).

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Receives Notice from Nasdaq Regarding Bid Price Rule

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

New minor risk - Insider selling

New major risk - Market cap size

Price target decreased by 93% to US$0.75

Avalo Announces Topline Data from Phase 2 Peak Trial for Avtx-002 (Quisovalimab) in Patients with Non-Eosinophilic Asthma

Insider recently bought US$56k worth of stock

Insider recently bought US$89k worth of stock

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 79%, EPS upgraded

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 79%, EPS upgraded

Insider recently bought US$69k worth of stock

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Insider recently bought US$143k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering.

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Completes Targeted Enrollment of 80 Patients in Phase 2 PEAK Trial of AVTX-002 in Non-Eosinophilic Asthma

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 43%

Consensus forecasts updated

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Advances B and T Lymphocyte Attenuator Agonist Fusion Protein (AVTX-008) to IND-Enabling Stage

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Avalo Therapeutics Announces Board Changes

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 190%

Price target decreased to US$11.38

Price target increased to US$53.67

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Avalo Therapeutics Announces First Patient Dosed in the AVTX-803 Pivotal Trial (LADDER) for the Treatment of Leukocyte Adhesion Deficiency Type II (LAD II)

Price target decreased to US$30.00

Avalo to get ~15M upfront in license deal with Apollo Therapeutics for AVTX-007

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 10%

Price target decreased to US$43.50

Avalo Therapeutics announces one-for-twelve reverse stock split

Consensus forecasts updated

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces First Patient Dosed in the Phase 2 PEAK Trial of AVTX-002 for the Treatment of Non-Eosinophilic Asthma

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Price target decreased to US$3.95

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 14, 2022

Price target decreased to US$3.95

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Executive and Board Changes

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Announces Resignation of H. Jeffrey Wilkins as Chief Medical Officer

Price target decreased to US$5.75

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Reports Positive Phase 1b Results for AVTX-002 in Moderate to Severe Crohn's Disease Patients and Presents Additional Program Updates at 2022 Investor Event

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.17 loss per share (vs US$0.16 loss in 3Q 2020)

Price target decreased to US$6.00

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $27.5 million.

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.(NasdaqCM:AVTX) dropped from NASDAQ Composite Index

Is Cerecor (NASDAQ:CERC) A Risky Investment?

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.88 loss per share (vs US$0.19 loss in 2Q 2020)

High number of new directors

Price target decreased to US$6.80