Stock Analysis

Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATRA) Surges 34% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqGS:ATRA
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Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATRA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 69% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Atara Biotherapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 12.7x and even P/S above 78x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Atara Biotherapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ATRA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024

What Does Atara Biotherapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Atara Biotherapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Atara Biotherapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Atara Biotherapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 31% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 130% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Atara Biotherapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Atara Biotherapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price move, Atara Biotherapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Atara Biotherapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Atara Biotherapeutics is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.