Ascendis Pharma Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Ascendis Pharma is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13% and 24.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 59.7% in 3 years.
Key information
13.0%
Earnings growth rate
10.27%
EPS growth rate
| Biotechs earnings growth | 28.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 24.1% |
| Future return on equity | 59.67% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 09 Sep 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
ASND: Yuviwel Settlement And Q2 TransCon Execution Will Test Fairly Priced Story
Analysts have nudged their price targets higher for Ascendis Pharma, with a modest move in fair value from about $260 to $269 as they factor in the Yuviwel royalty settlement with BioMarin and updated assumptions for future royalties and earnings, even as they temper revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ascendis Pharma shows a mixed but generally constructive tone.
ASND: TransCon Platform Execution And Q2 Progress Should Drive Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their Ascendis Pharma price target to $313 from $305, citing fresh coverage and updated models that focus on the TransCon platform's three FDA approvals, Yorvipath's commercial ramp, Yuviwel's achondroplasia launch, and renewed interest in rare endocrine disease stocks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ascendis Pharma clusters around the company’s execution on its TransCon platform and the commercial progress of Yorvipath and Yuviwel.Ascendis Pharma A/S Just Recorded A 104% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Ascendis Pharma A/S ( NASDAQ:ASND ) just released its latest second-quarter results and things are looking bullish. It...ASND: Q2 Execution And M&A Interest Will Test Fairly Priced Story
Analysts have increased their price target for Ascendis Pharma, with the updated fair value estimate moving by about $11 to $259.95. This change reflects recent target hikes around Q2 earnings previews and a growing focus on the company's execution and potential M&A interest.ASND: Rare Endocrine Execution And Q2 Earnings Should Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the Ascendis Pharma fair value estimate from $293.79 to $304.60, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and sector-wide price target increases that reflect greater focus on company-specific execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ascendis Pharma points to a generally constructive outlook on the stock, with several firms adjusting price targets higher and highlighting upcoming earnings as an important test of execution.ASND: M&A Hype And Launch Expectations Will Test Lofty Share Price
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Ascendis Pharma lower from $254.97 to $248.54, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. The revision still coincides with higher Street price targets supported by recent research highlighting potential M&A interest and product launch traction.Ascendis Pharma: Behind The Stock Surge
Summary Ascendis Pharma has more than tripled over the past two and a half years, driven by Yorvipath's blockbuster launch and Yuviwel's FDA approval. Yorvipath's rapid adoption and ongoing label expansion underpin robust revenue growth. Yuviwel-Skytrofa combo therapy demonstrated unprecedented efficacy in achondroplasia, positioning ASND ahead of competitors pending pivotal trials. Patent litigation is one risk with the stock. An analysis around Ascendis Pharma follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaASND: Rare Endocrine Portfolio Progress Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Ascendis Pharma has moved from $342.08 to $293.79 as analysts adjust their models to reflect updated assumptions on long term growth, margins and P/E expectations, alongside recent Street research that highlights confidence in Yorvipath and ongoing target revisions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Ascendis Pharma has recently centered on Yorvipath's commercial progress, updated growth assumptions and how these feed into valuation targets and execution risk.Statutory Earnings May Not Be The Best Way To Understand Ascendis Pharma's (NASDAQ:ASND) True Position
We didn't see Ascendis Pharma A/S' ( NASDAQ:ASND ) stock surge when it reported robust earnings recently. We think that...Long Term TransCon Pipeline Execution Will Shape Future Cash Flows And Business Durability
Catalysts About Ascendis Pharma Ascendis Pharma focuses on developing and commercializing long-acting therapies for rare endocrine and growth disorders using its TransCon technology platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Long Acting TransCon Therapies Will Reshape Rare Endocrine Treatment Over The Coming Years
Catalysts About Ascendis Pharma Ascendis Pharma focuses on developing and commercializing long acting therapies for rare endocrine and growth disorders using its TransCon technology platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 2,513 | 986 | 687 | 1,110 | 14 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,002 | 629 | 558 | 789 | 18 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,359 | 964 | 481 | 589 | 18 |
| 6/30/2026 | 1,047 | 742 | 335 | 350 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 866 | 496 | 45 | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 720 | -228 | 45 | 54 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 647 | -233 | -112 | -107 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 491 | -271 | -171 | -165 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 369 | -342 | -221 | -219 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 364 | -378 | -308 | -306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 327 | -426 | -262 | -261 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 318 | -490 | -332 | -330 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 329 | -502 | -423 | -422 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 267 | -481 | -470 | -467 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 152 | -602 | -573 | -567 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 119 | -609 | -549 | -541 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 78 | -569 | -524 | -512 | N/A |
| 1/1/2023 | 51 | -583 | -510 | -496 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 33 | -482 | -493 | -477 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 19 | -393 | -500 | -476 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 14 | -446 | -490 | -467 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 8 | -384 | -442 | -418 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3 | -416 | -409 | -385 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5 | -458 | -364 | -345 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5 | -418 | -306 | -286 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 7 | -419 | -293 | -272 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 9 | -360 | -248 | -230 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 8 | -264 | -246 | -233 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 10 | -228 | N/A | -182 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 13 | -218 | N/A | -176 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 21 | -170 | N/A | -162 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 19 | -178 | N/A | -149 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 16 | -142 | N/A | -163 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 11 | -130 | N/A | -139 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 0 | -132 | N/A | -127 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1 | -132 | N/A | -107 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1 | -140 | N/A | -111 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2 | -124 | N/A | -95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2 | -106 | N/A | -88 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3 | -91 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4 | -73 | N/A | -67 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5 | -69 | N/A | -60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 6 | -64 | N/A | -54 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 6 | -53 | N/A | -50 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 7 | -55 | N/A | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 8 | -33 | N/A | -43 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 9 | -26 | N/A | -41 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ASND's forecast earnings growth (13% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: ASND's earnings (13% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (17.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ASND's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ASND's revenue (24.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ASND's revenue (24.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ASND's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (59.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/10 23:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ascendis Pharma A/S is covered by 31 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Eliana Merle | Barclays |
| Tazeen Ahmad | BofA Global Research |
| Michelle Gilson | Canaccord Genuity |