Alpine Immune Sciences, Inc.

NasdaqGM:ALPN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.5b

Alpine Immune Sciences Valuation

Is ALPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALPN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALPN's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALPN?

Key metric: As ALPN barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for ALPN. This is calculated by dividing ALPN's market cap by their current book value.
What is ALPN's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio13.4x
BookUS$332.70m
Market CapUS$4.46b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does ALPN's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for ALPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.3x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics
13.8x21.1%US$6.2b
BPMC Blueprint Medicines
19.1x68.6%US$6.0b
TPTX Turning Point Therapeutics
4.8x24.7%US$3.8b
ALKS Alkermes
3.6x-12.6%US$4.7b
ALPN Alpine Immune Sciences
13.4x-9.9%US$4.5b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: ALPN is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (18.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does ALPN's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

61 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$554.58m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.59m
ACET Adicet Bio
0.4x6.7%US$74.16m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$70.73m
ALPN 13.4xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies81PB01.63.24.86.48+
61 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: ALPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (13.4x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (2.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALPN's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALPN PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio13.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALPN's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Nov ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Oct ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Sep ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Aug ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Jul ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Jun ’25n/a
US$62.00
0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
May ’25US$64.60
US$62.00
-4.0%
11.9%US$65.00US$44.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$40.22
US$45.29
+12.6%
6.4%US$50.00US$41.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$36.00
US$33.57
-6.7%
13.8%US$44.00US$29.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$27.98
US$30.67
+9.6%
10.4%US$35.00US$25.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$19.06
US$27.50
+44.3%
12.6%US$32.00US$22.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$15.63
US$24.00
+53.6%
20.3%US$30.00US$17.00n/a7
Nov ’24US$10.52
US$18.29
+73.8%
10.0%US$22.00US$16.00n/a7
Oct ’24US$11.45
US$18.20
+59.0%
11.7%US$22.00US$16.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$12.90
US$16.60
+28.7%
9.8%US$19.00US$14.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$13.27
US$15.00
+13.0%
15.2%US$17.00US$11.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$10.28
US$15.00
+45.9%
15.2%US$17.00US$11.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$10.24
US$15.00
+46.5%
15.2%US$17.00US$11.00n/a5
May ’24US$7.49
US$15.00
+100.3%
15.2%US$17.00US$11.00US$64.605
Apr ’24US$7.72
US$15.00
+94.3%
15.2%US$17.00US$11.00US$40.225
Mar ’24US$7.99
US$14.40
+80.2%
23.5%US$17.00US$8.00US$36.005
Feb ’24US$8.28
US$14.40
+73.9%
23.5%US$17.00US$8.00US$27.985
Jan ’24US$7.35
US$13.75
+87.1%
25.4%US$17.00US$8.00US$19.064
Dec ’23US$6.32
US$13.75
+117.6%
25.4%US$17.00US$8.00US$15.634
Nov ’23US$6.08
US$13.00
+113.8%
28.8%US$17.00US$8.00US$10.523

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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