Stock Analysis

We Think ADMA Biologics (NASDAQ:ADMA) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqGM:ADMA
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that ADMA Biologics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADMA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for ADMA Biologics

How Much Debt Does ADMA Biologics Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 ADMA Biologics had debt of US$144.3m, up from US$138.4m in one year. However, it does have US$69.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$75.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:ADMA Debt to Equity History June 10th 2023

A Look At ADMA Biologics' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ADMA Biologics had liabilities of US$36.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$158.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$69.2m and US$26.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$99.4m.

Given ADMA Biologics has a market capitalization of US$849.1m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ADMA Biologics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, ADMA Biologics reported revenue of US$182m, which is a gain of 94%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate ADMA Biologics's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$25m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$61m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for ADMA Biologics you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.