Achieve Life Sciences Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Achieve Life Sciences is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 68.8% and 63% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 70.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -4.9% in 3 years.
Key information
68.8%
Earnings growth rate
70.83%
EPS growth rate
| Biotechs earnings growth | 27.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 63.0% |
| Future return on equity | -4.94% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
ACHV: FDA Resubmission And Potential First New Cessation Therapy Could Reignite Upside
Analysts have lowered the fair value estimate for Achieve Life Sciences from $15.38 to $13.80, while still highlighting Street research that points to a $20 price target, supported by expectations around cytisinicline's Phase 2b and Phase 3 data and its potential role as a first new FDA-approved smoking cessation therapy in roughly 20 years. What’s in the News for Achieve Life Sciences Stockholders approved an amendment to Achieve Life Sciences' Certificate of Incorporation at the July 2, 2026 annual meeting, increasing authorized common shares from 150,000,000 to 300,000,000.
ACHV: FDA Response And Index Inclusion Will Shape Smoking Cessation Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Achieve Life Sciences from $10.00 to $9.00, citing updated price target work that balances higher modeled revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate against more conservative future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary on Achieve Life Sciences Recent Street research on Achieve Life Sciences highlights a mix of optimism around its cytisinicline program and more cautious views tied to execution, regulatory timing, and market adoption.
ACHV: Manufacturing Progress And Margin Potential Will Support Bullish Thesis
Analysts have reset their 12 month price target on Achieve Life Sciences to $21 from $25, citing updated views on future valuation multiples, margin potential and revenue ramp outlined in recent bullish research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Achieve Life Sciences points to a cluster of bullish views that frame the updated US$21, 12 month price target as part of a broader constructive stance on the stock.Regulatory And Commercial Hurdles Will Test Smoking Cessation Catalyst Yet Long Term Potential Remains
Catalysts About Achieve Life Sciences Achieve Life Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company focused on bringing cytisinicline, a nicotine dependence treatment, to market for smoking and vaping cessation. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Regulatory Tailwinds And Public Health Demand Will Support This Nicotine Cessation Opportunity
Catalysts About Achieve Life Sciences Achieve Life Sciences is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing cytisinicline as a treatment for nicotine dependence in smokers and vapers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?FDA Priority Voucher And Smoking Cessation Tailwinds Will Transform This Undervalued Biotech Story
Catalysts About Achieve Life Sciences Achieve Life Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing cytisinicline as a treatment for nicotine dependence in smokers and people who vape. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Achieve Life Sciences: Could Be The Best 'Tobacco' Stock For 2026 - Strong Buy
Summary Achieve Life Sciences is a late-stage Pharma company awaiting FDA approval for Cytisinicline, a novel (though proven) smoking cessation therapy, with a decision expected in June. Cytisinicline demonstrates superior efficacy and safety versus current treatments, with strong precedent in Europe and a large, underserved U.S. market. ACHV’s market cap (~$250M) is a fraction of its potential, with peak sales for smoking and vaping cessation possibly reaching $2–3 billion. I rate ACHV a strong buy, citing favorable approval odds and blockbuster potential, but note dilution and supply chain risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaIs Achieve Life Sciences (NASDAQ:ACHV) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 142 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 38 | -68 | -60 | -60 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | N/A | -128 | -57 | -77 | 10 |
| 6/30/2026 | N/A | -114 | -47 | -47 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | N/A | -52 | -45 | -45 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | N/A | -55 | -49 | -49 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | N/A | -52 | -41 | -41 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | N/A | -50 | -40 | -40 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | N/A | -46 | -36 | -36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | N/A | -40 | -30 | -30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | N/A | -33 | -25 | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | N/A | -28 | -20 | -20 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | N/A | -27 | -21 | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | N/A | -30 | -24 | -24 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | N/A | -36 | -31 | -31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | N/A | -42 | -37 | -37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | N/A | -44 | -39 | -39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | N/A | -42 | -38 | -38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | N/A | -38 | -32 | -32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | N/A | -32 | -29 | -29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | N/A | -33 | -30 | -30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | N/A | -33 | -29 | -29 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | N/A | -31 | -27 | -27 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | N/A | -28 | -22 | -22 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | N/A | -19 | -15 | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | N/A | -15 | -13 | -13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | N/A | -13 | -14 | -14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | N/A | -13 | -13 | -13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | N/A | -14 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | N/A | -16 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | N/A | -17 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | N/A | -16 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | N/A | -16 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | N/A | -13 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | N/A | -13 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | N/A | -16 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | N/A | -13 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | N/A | -11 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | N/A | -7 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | N/A | -1 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | N/A | -1 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ACHV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: ACHV is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: ACHV is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ACHV's revenue (63% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ACHV's revenue (63% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ACHV is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/20 21:47 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Achieve Life Sciences, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gary Nachman | Canaccord Genuity |
| null null | CG Capital |
| Gary Nachman | CGS International |