Vivendi SE

OTCPK:VVVN.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.2b

Vivendi Valuation

Is VVVN.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VVVN.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VVVN.F ($9.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($17.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VVVN.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VVVN.F?

Key metric: As VVVN.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VVVN.F. This is calculated by dividing VVVN.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VVVN.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.5x
Earnings€389.00m
Market Cap€8.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VVVN.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VVVN.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
NXST Nexstar Media Group
9.2x5.0%US$5.3b
FOXA Fox
11.1x-2.8%US$20.8b
TGNA TEGNA
6.1x-13.6%US$3.0b
GTN Gray Television
2.8x-29.4%US$430.4m
VVVN.F Vivendi
22.5x31.0%US$8.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VVVN.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the peer average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VVVN.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DISH DISH Network
2.5x-71.9%US$3.08b
GTN Gray Television
2.8x-29.4%US$430.39m
ABLV Able View Global
4xn/aUS$37.47m
ANTE AirNet Technology
0.3xn/aUS$6.36m
VVVN.F 22.5xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VVVN.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the US Media industry average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VVVN.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VVVN.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.5x
Fair PE Ratio28.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VVVN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VVVN.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.30
US$13.46
+44.8%
13.8%US$16.04US$10.55n/a7
Nov ’25US$10.65
US$14.28
+34.1%
10.6%US$16.53US$11.96n/a7
Oct ’25US$11.50
US$14.63
+27.2%
9.4%US$16.99US$12.29n/a9
Sep ’25US$11.07
US$14.07
+27.1%
9.0%US$16.43US$11.89n/a9
Aug ’25US$10.54
US$14.07
+33.5%
9.0%US$16.43US$11.89n/a9
Jul ’25US$10.48
US$14.36
+36.9%
9.2%US$16.64US$11.81n/a10
Jun ’25US$10.93
US$14.51
+32.7%
9.2%US$16.82US$11.93n/a11
May ’25US$10.20
US$14.29
+40.1%
9.1%US$16.57US$11.76n/a11
Apr ’25US$10.81
US$14.25
+31.8%
9.0%US$16.65US$11.82n/a11
Mar ’25US$11.33
US$14.06
+24.1%
8.7%US$16.47US$11.92n/a11
Feb ’25US$11.17
US$13.65
+22.2%
10.0%US$16.52US$10.65n/a12
Jan ’25US$10.65
US$13.33
+25.1%
9.6%US$16.03US$10.68n/a12
Dec ’24US$9.46
US$13.12
+38.7%
10.4%US$15.99US$10.66n/a12
Nov ’24US$8.96
US$12.80
+42.9%
10.4%US$15.67US$10.45US$10.6513
Oct ’24US$8.76
US$12.94
+47.7%
10.5%US$16.03US$10.47US$11.5013
Sep ’24US$9.12
US$13.51
+48.2%
8.6%US$16.41US$11.93US$11.0714
Aug ’24US$8.86
US$13.55
+52.9%
8.9%US$16.47US$11.97US$10.5413
Jul ’24US$9.22
US$13.48
+46.2%
9.1%US$16.37US$11.46US$10.4814
Jun ’24US$9.01
US$13.35
+48.2%
10.1%US$16.18US$11.25US$10.9314
May ’24US$10.98
US$14.08
+28.2%
8.8%US$17.01US$12.15US$10.2014
Apr ’24US$10.14
US$13.53
+33.5%
9.0%US$16.35US$11.68US$10.8114
Mar ’24US$10.42
US$13.15
+26.2%
10.0%US$15.61US$10.05US$11.3314
Feb ’24US$10.69
US$13.18
+23.3%
10.7%US$15.87US$10.22US$11.1716
Jan ’24US$9.59
US$12.76
+33.1%
10.6%US$15.26US$9.96US$10.6516
Dec ’23US$9.40
US$11.95
+27.2%
10.5%US$14.35US$9.37US$9.4616
Nov ’23US$8.30
US$11.95
+44.1%
10.5%US$14.35US$9.37US$8.9616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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