TV Asahi Holdings Corporation

OTCPK:TVAH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.4b

TVhi Holdings Valuation

Is TVAH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TVAH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TVAH.F ($13.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($18.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TVAH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TVAH.F?

Key metric: As TVAH.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TVAH.F. This is calculated by dividing TVAH.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TVAH.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsJP¥18.22b
Market CapJP¥219.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TVAH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TVAH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
TGNA TEGNA
6.2x-13.6%US$3.1b
GTN Gray Television
2.8x-29.4%US$436.7m
NXST Nexstar Media Group
9.1x5.0%US$5.3b
AMCX AMC Networks
11.2x19.7%US$410.3m
TVAH.F TVhi Holdings
11.8x3.3%US$214.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TVAH.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TVAH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DISH DISH Network
2.5x-71.9%US$3.08b
GTN Gray Television
2.8x-29.4%US$436.74m
ABLV Able View Global
3.9xn/aUS$36.64m
ANTE AirNet Technology
0.3xn/aUS$6.99m
TVAH.F 12.0xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TVAH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the US Media industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TVAH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TVAH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TVAH.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TVAH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$14.51
0%
4.9%US$15.49US$13.34n/a5
Nov ’25US$13.46
US$14.72
+9.3%
5.0%US$15.60US$13.43n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
US$15.61
0%
5.0%US$16.54US$14.24n/a5
Sep ’25US$14.54
US$15.00
+3.2%
8.1%US$16.53US$13.34n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
US$13.74
0%
8.2%US$15.09US$12.17n/a5
Jul ’25US$13.98
US$13.74
-1.7%
8.2%US$15.09US$12.17n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$13.47
0%
14.0%US$15.28US$10.08n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$13.08
0%
14.6%US$15.39US$10.15n/a5
Apr ’25US$14.68
US$12.53
-14.7%
9.4%US$13.51US$10.60n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
US$12.30
0%
9.4%US$13.26US$10.41n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
US$12.41
0%
9.7%US$13.55US$10.64n/a4
Jan ’25US$11.66
US$13.04
+11.8%
14.9%US$14.99US$10.38n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$13.04
0%
14.9%US$14.99US$10.38n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$13.04
0%
14.9%US$14.99US$10.38US$13.463
Oct ’24US$11.64
US$13.04
+12.0%
14.9%US$14.99US$10.38n/a3
Sep ’24US$11.53
US$13.04
+13.1%
14.9%US$14.99US$10.38US$14.543
Aug ’24US$12.90
US$12.63
-2.1%
14.0%US$14.40US$10.87n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
US$12.87
0%
16.3%US$14.97US$10.77US$13.982
Jun ’24US$11.05
US$13.17
+19.1%
12.5%US$15.48US$11.79n/a3
May ’24US$11.68
US$13.38
+14.6%
12.5%US$15.73US$11.99n/a3
Apr ’24US$11.37
US$12.37
+8.8%
15.4%US$15.44US$10.29US$14.684
Mar ’24US$11.18
US$11.65
+4.2%
18.6%US$15.39US$8.94n/a5
Feb ’24US$10.41
US$11.65
+11.9%
18.6%US$15.39US$8.94n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
US$11.65
0%
18.6%US$15.39US$8.94US$11.665
Dec ’23n/a
US$11.58
0%
17.3%US$15.14US$9.37n/a5
Nov ’23US$9.25
US$11.44
+23.7%
18.3%US$14.52US$8.99n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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