Stingray Group Inc.

OTCPK:STGY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$396.9m

Stingray Group Valuation

Is STGY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STGY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STGY.F ($5.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($17.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STGY.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STGY.F?

Key metric: As STGY.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for STGY.F. This is calculated by dividing STGY.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is STGY.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.5x
SalesCA$366.60m
Market CapCA$554.76m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STGY.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STGY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.1x
GTN Gray Television
0.1x-1.1%US$440.1m
IHRT iHeartMedia
0.1x2.2%US$352.3m
AMCX AMC Networks
0.2x-1.7%US$415.2m
SSP E.W. Scripps
0.08x-1.6%US$180.8m
STGY.F Stingray Group
1.5x4.4%US$554.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STGY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does STGY.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

42 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PARA Paramount Global
0.3x1.5%US$7.74b
DISH DISH Network
0.2x-1.3%US$3.08b
STGW Stagwell
0.3x5.0%US$2.06b
ATUS Altice USA
0.1x-2.4%US$1.19b
STGY.F 1.5xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies42PS01.63.24.86.48+
42 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STGY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the US Media industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STGY.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STGY.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STGY.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STGY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.69
US$7.91
+39.1%
7.0%US$9.02US$7.21n/a6
Nov ’25US$5.05
US$7.59
+50.3%
4.8%US$8.31US$7.23n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
US$7.64
0%
4.8%US$8.36US$7.27n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
US$7.64
0%
4.8%US$8.36US$7.27n/a6
Aug ’25US$5.99
US$7.28
+21.5%
5.3%US$7.94US$6.86n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
US$7.27
0%
6.5%US$8.00US$6.54n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
US$7.01
0%
4.7%US$7.32US$6.59n/a6
May ’25n/a
US$7.01
0%
4.7%US$7.32US$6.59n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
US$7.00
0%
4.8%US$7.43US$6.69n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
US$7.00
0%
4.8%US$7.43US$6.69n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
US$6.08
0%
8.4%US$6.70US$5.21n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
US$5.74
0%
7.7%US$6.52US$5.07n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$5.74
0%
7.7%US$6.52US$5.07n/a6
Nov ’24US$3.06
US$5.74
+87.9%
7.7%US$6.52US$5.07US$5.056
Oct ’24n/a
US$5.90
0%
8.1%US$6.64US$5.16n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
US$5.81
0%
6.5%US$6.33US$5.21n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
US$5.76
0%
6.6%US$6.36US$5.23US$5.995
Jul ’24US$3.74
US$5.76
+53.9%
6.6%US$6.36US$5.23n/a5
Jun ’24US$3.95
US$5.79
+46.7%
3.1%US$5.94US$5.57n/a5
May ’24n/a
US$5.79
0%
3.1%US$5.94US$5.57n/a5
Apr ’24US$4.37
US$5.79
+32.6%
3.1%US$5.94US$5.57n/a5
Mar ’24n/a
US$5.79
0%
3.1%US$5.94US$5.57n/a5
Feb ’24n/a
US$5.27
0%
6.4%US$5.65US$4.89n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
US$5.27
0%
6.4%US$5.65US$4.89n/a5
Dec ’23US$3.59
US$5.27
+46.8%
6.4%US$5.65US$4.89n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
US$5.59
0%
6.6%US$6.17US$5.09US$3.065

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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