AMC Networks Valuation

Is AMCX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMCX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMCX ($9.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($63.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMCX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMCX?

Key metric: As AMCX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMCX. This is calculated by dividing AMCX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMCX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$36.14m
Market CapUS$420.03m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMCX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMCX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
GTN Gray Television
3.1x-29.4%US$471.9m
SGA Saga Communications
16.4x-16.9%US$74.9m
TGNA TEGNA
5.8x-13.6%US$2.9b
NXST Nexstar Media Group
8.7x5.8%US$5.2b
AMCX AMC Networks
11.3x18.3%US$420.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMCX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DISH DISH Network
2.5x-71.9%US$3.08b
GTN Gray Television
3.1x-29.4%US$471.85m
ABLV Able View Global
3.9xn/aUS$36.64m
ANTE AirNet Technology
0.3xn/aUS$8.57m
AMCX 11.3xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMCX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the US Media industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMCX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMCX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMCX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMCX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.25
US$10.43
+12.7%
20.4%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$8.21
US$10.57
+28.8%
19.5%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$8.53
US$10.50
+23.1%
21.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$9.85
US$10.50
+6.6%
21.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$10.40
US$12.83
+23.4%
15.2%US$16.00US$11.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$9.34
US$12.83
+37.4%
15.2%US$16.00US$11.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$17.34
US$12.83
-26.0%
15.2%US$16.00US$11.00n/a6
May ’25US$11.05
US$12.83
+16.1%
15.2%US$16.00US$11.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$11.84
US$13.67
+15.4%
24.1%US$20.00US$11.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$13.15
US$13.67
+3.9%
24.1%US$20.00US$11.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$18.34
US$15.67
-14.6%
32.3%US$25.00US$12.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$18.79
US$15.67
-16.6%
32.3%US$25.00US$12.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$16.16
US$15.75
-2.5%
28.5%US$25.00US$12.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$12.07
US$16.00
+32.6%
37.6%US$27.00US$10.00US$8.218
Oct ’24US$11.78
US$17.14
+45.5%
40.2%US$27.00US$10.00US$8.537
Sep ’24US$11.36
US$17.14
+50.9%
40.2%US$27.00US$10.00US$9.857
Aug ’24US$12.58
US$18.00
+43.1%
34.1%US$27.00US$10.00US$10.408
Jul ’24US$11.95
US$19.00
+59.0%
27.1%US$27.00US$12.00US$9.348
Jun ’24US$11.41
US$19.88
+74.2%
22.3%US$27.00US$15.00US$17.348
May ’24US$17.97
US$22.50
+25.2%
17.8%US$27.00US$15.00US$11.058
Apr ’24US$17.58
US$22.50
+28.0%
17.8%US$27.00US$15.00US$11.848
Mar ’24US$22.89
US$22.50
-1.7%
17.8%US$27.00US$15.00US$13.158
Feb ’24US$19.06
US$19.13
+0.3%
23.4%US$27.00US$10.00US$18.348
Jan ’24US$15.67
US$19.75
+26.0%
23.3%US$27.00US$10.00US$18.798
Dec ’23US$19.84
US$20.13
+1.4%
23.1%US$27.00US$10.00US$16.168
Nov ’23US$23.30
US$29.56
+26.8%
36.8%US$51.00US$10.00US$12.079

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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