Paradox Interactive AB (publ)

OTCPK:PRXX.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.8b

Paradox Interactive Valuation

Is PRXX.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRXX.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRXX.F ($16.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($21.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRXX.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRXX.F?

Key metric: As PRXX.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRXX.F. This is calculated by dividing PRXX.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRXX.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio52.2x
EarningsSEK 372.08m
Market CapSEK 19.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRXX.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRXX.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
SCPL SciPlay
20.9x8.7%US$2.9b
PLTK Playtika Holding
14.9x10.0%US$3.2b
GRVY Gravity
7.7xn/aUS$463.1m
DDI DoubleDown Interactive
6x0.3%US$722.0m
PRXX.F Paradox Interactive
52.2x41.4%US$19.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRXX.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.2x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRXX.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IH iHuman
4.4xn/aUS$79.60m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
MSGM Motorsport Games
0.7xn/aUS$3.53m
BRVO Bravo Multinational
0.5xn/aUS$2.01m
PRXX.F 52.2xIndustry Avg. 20.4xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRXX.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.2x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRXX.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRXX.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PRXX.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRXX.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$19.85
0%
20.2%US$25.35US$12.68n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
US$19.69
0%
23.8%US$26.05US$13.02n/a6
Oct ’25US$18.35
US$18.03
-1.7%
23.4%US$22.78US$11.86n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$18.03
0%
23.4%US$22.78US$11.86n/a5
Aug ’25US$14.33
US$17.65
+23.2%
22.5%US$22.18US$12.01n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$18.44
0%
22.7%US$23.52US$12.23n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$21.51
0%
19.0%US$25.53US$15.13n/a4
May ’25US$15.45
US$22.19
+43.6%
9.4%US$24.71US$20.13n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
US$24.12
0%
9.2%US$26.62US$20.91n/a4
Mar ’25US$19.64
US$24.12
+22.8%
9.2%US$26.62US$20.91n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
US$24.41
0%
10.6%US$26.81US$20.58n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
US$24.45
0%
10.7%US$26.93US$20.31n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
US$24.45
0%
10.7%US$26.93US$20.31n/a4
Nov ’24US$17.70
US$23.40
+32.2%
11.4%US$25.97US$19.26n/a4
Oct ’24US$21.69
US$26.33
+21.4%
5.6%US$28.24US$24.20US$18.354
Sep ’24n/a
US$27.43
0%
3.0%US$28.69US$26.41n/a4
Aug ’24US$26.35
US$27.69
+5.1%
7.0%US$29.70US$24.51US$14.334
Jul ’24US$25.00
US$24.02
-3.9%
3.5%US$25.46US$23.35n/a4
Jun ’24US$24.32
US$23.76
-2.3%
13.8%US$26.88US$17.40n/a5
May ’24n/a
US$22.11
0%
12.9%US$25.35US$17.55US$15.455
Apr ’24n/a
US$20.32
0%
7.3%US$21.23US$17.37n/a5
Mar ’24US$20.30
US$20.32
+0.1%
7.3%US$21.23US$17.37US$19.645
Feb ’24US$17.63
US$19.37
+9.8%
5.3%US$20.36US$17.53n/a5
Jan ’24US$20.00
US$19.23
-3.9%
6.7%US$20.96US$17.15n/a5
Dec ’23US$18.91
US$19.23
+1.7%
6.7%US$20.96US$17.15n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
US$18.23
0%
7.1%US$19.97US$16.34US$17.705

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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