The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Emerald Holding, Inc. (NYSE:EEX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Emerald Holding
What Is Emerald Holding's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Emerald Holding had US$514.4m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$231.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$282.7m.
How Healthy Is Emerald Holding's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Emerald Holding had liabilities of US$257.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$529.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$231.7m as well as receivables valued at US$79.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$475.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$275.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Emerald Holding would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Emerald Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Emerald Holding wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 492%, to US$288m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Emerald Holding still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$27m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$38m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Emerald Holding is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EEX
Emerald Holding
Operates business-to-business (B2B) trade shows in the United States.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.