Stock Analysis

Does Emerald Holding (NYSE:EEX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:EEX
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Emerald Holding, Inc. (NYSE:EEX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Emerald Holding

How Much Debt Does Emerald Holding Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Emerald Holding had US$521.0m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$295.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$225.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:EEX Debt to Equity History April 6th 2021

How Strong Is Emerald Holding's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Emerald Holding had liabilities of US$115.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$544.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$295.3m and US$48.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$316.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$412.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Emerald Holding's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Emerald Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Emerald Holding made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$127m, which is a fall of 65%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Emerald Holding's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$90m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$41m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Emerald Holding (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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