Stock Analysis

Why JOYY’s (JOYY) AI-Driven Ad Gains and Dividends Matter for Its Long-Term Strategy

  • JOYY Inc. recently reported its third quarter 2025 results, highlighting sequential growth in livestreaming revenue, a 29.2% year-over-year increase in advertising revenue, and reaffirmed its commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases.
  • A unique detail is that JOYY’s BIGO Ads business and accelerated AI-powered advertising initiatives are driving revenue growth across developed markets, supporting the company’s dual focus on livestreaming and advertising technology for sustained operational performance.
  • We will examine how JOYY’s robust expansion in advertising and renewed dividend commitment shape its updated investment narrative and future outlook.

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JOYY Investment Narrative Recap

For investors considering JOYY, the big picture hinges on the company’s ability to sustain growth in both livestreaming and ad tech, while managing competition and navigating regulatory uncertainty. The latest earnings and dividend increase reinforce JOYY’s focus on returning capital to shareholders, but they do not materially change the most important near-term catalyst, executing on its advertising technology momentum, or the key risk posed by evolving regional regulations.

The newly announced fourth quarter dividend of US$0.97 per ADS stands out, underlining JOYY’s ongoing commitment to returning capital despite recent year-over-year revenue declines. This move is particularly relevant as the share repurchase program, which completed a tranche worth US$88.6 million, aligns with shareholder value strategies at a time when market participants remain focused on the impact of regulatory changes on JOYY’s overseas revenue prospects.

In contrast, investors should also be mindful of tightening regulation and its potential to...

Read the full narrative on JOYY (it's free!)

JOYY's outlook forecasts $2.4 billion in revenue and $267.8 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes 4.0% annual revenue growth but a sharp decrease in earnings, down $1.43 billion from the current $1.7 billion.

Uncover how JOYY's forecasts yield a $62.56 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

JOYY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
JOYY Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Fair value estimates from four Simply Wall St Community members range from US$37.18 to US$235.32 per share. These wide-ranging views come as many expect JOYY’s international growth efforts to face increased regulatory challenges impacting potential future revenue expansion.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on JOYY - why the stock might be worth 40% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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