Stock Analysis

Advantage Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:ADV) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 53%

NasdaqGS:ADV
Source: Shutterstock

Advantage Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:ADV) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 53% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 105% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Advantage Solutions may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Media industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.9x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Advantage Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ADV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Advantage Solutions' Recent Performance Look Like?

Advantage Solutions certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Advantage Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Advantage Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?

Advantage Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.7%. Revenue has also lifted 28% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.2% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 33%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Advantage Solutions is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Advantage Solutions' P/S Mean For Investors?

Advantage Solutions' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Advantage Solutions maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Advantage Solutions that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Advantage Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.