Sayona Mining Limited

OTCPK:SYAX.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$148.6m

Sayona Mining Valuation

Is SYAX.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYAX.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYAX.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SYAX.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYAX.F?

Key metric: As SYAX.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SYAX.F. This is calculated by dividing SYAX.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SYAX.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesAU$204.43m
Market CapAU$230.87m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SYAX.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SYAX.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
9.3xn/aUS$230.3m
UAMY United States Antimony
25.8x35.9%US$389.8m
SGML Sigma Lithium
6x32.3%US$916.8m
CMP Compass Minerals International
0.5x4.4%US$519.6m
SYAX.F Sayona Mining
1.1x7.2%US$230.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SYAX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SYAX.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.3x2.3%US$5.60b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.2x5.2%US$3.91b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.2x7.5%US$1.33b
SYAX.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies27PS01.63.24.86.48+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SYAX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYAX.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYAX.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio12x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SYAX.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SYAX.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.013
US$0.027
+105.7%
5.9%US$0.028US$0.025n/a2
Apr ’26US$0.011
US$0.027
+140.9%
5.9%US$0.029US$0.025n/a2
Dec ’25US$0.02
US$0.052
+156.1%
50.0%US$0.078US$0.026n/a2
Nov ’25US$0.022
US$0.041
+82.6%
67.6%US$0.079US$0.017n/a3
Oct ’25US$0.022
US$0.05
+124.5%
72.0%US$0.10US$0.017n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.018
US$0.05
+180.5%
68.5%US$0.099US$0.02n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.019
US$0.053
+170.3%
62.1%US$0.099US$0.026n/a3
Jul ’25US$0.023
US$0.054
+136.2%
57.4%US$0.098US$0.026n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.03
US$0.054
+81.5%
57.4%US$0.098US$0.026n/a3
May ’25US$0.022
US$0.054
+147.5%
57.4%US$0.098US$0.026n/a3
Apr ’25US$0.027
US$0.055
+102.3%
57.4%US$0.098US$0.026US$0.0113
Mar ’25US$0.029
US$0.055
+88.6%
57.4%US$0.098US$0.026US$0.0133
Feb ’25US$0.026
US$0.066
+156.6%
71.2%US$0.13US$0.026US$0.0143
Jan ’25US$0.049
US$0.11
+131.5%
33.6%US$0.15US$0.061US$0.0163
Dec ’24US$0.041
US$0.12
+201.1%
10.4%US$0.14US$0.11US$0.023
Nov ’24US$0.044
US$0.12
+181.6%
10.4%US$0.14US$0.11US$0.0223
Oct ’24US$0.06
US$0.15
+146.2%
12.3%US$0.16US$0.12US$0.0223
Sep ’24US$0.076
US$0.16
+112.3%
16.3%US$0.19US$0.13US$0.0183
Aug ’24US$0.10
US$0.18
+72.9%
11.1%US$0.20US$0.16US$0.0192
Jul ’24US$0.12
US$0.19
+52.8%
12.7%US$0.21US$0.16US$0.0232
Jun ’24US$0.12
US$0.18
+51.7%
10.7%US$0.20US$0.16US$0.032
Apr ’24US$0.14
US$0.19
+38.8%
3.4%US$0.20US$0.19US$0.0272
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
US$0.028
Fair Value
52.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/28 06:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/28 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sayona Mining Limited is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reg SpencerCanaccord Genuity
Hayden BairstowMacquarie Research
Austin YunMacquarie Research