St Barbara Limited

OTCPK:STBM.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$203.0m

St Barbara Valuation

Is STBM.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STBM.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate STBM.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate STBM.F's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STBM.F?

Key metric: As STBM.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for STBM.F. This is calculated by dividing STBM.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is STBM.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesAU$223.60m
Market CapAU$312.44m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STBM.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STBM.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.7x
FTCO Fortitude Gold
3.4xn/aUS$134.8m
CMCL Caledonia Mining
1.2x1.8%US$215.0m
MUX McEwen Mining
2.2x18.4%US$450.9m
GROY Gold Royalty
27.9x35.9%US$221.8m
STBM.F St Barbara
1.4x11.9%US$312.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STBM.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does STBM.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.55b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.1%US$5.87b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.76b
STBM.F 1.4xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies25PS0246810+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STBM.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STBM.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STBM.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STBM.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STBM.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.22
US$0.28
+25.9%
14.9%US$0.33US$0.23n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.29
US$0.29
+0.3%
16.5%US$0.33US$0.22n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.17
0%
40.6%US$0.23US$0.06n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.15
0%
36.2%US$0.20US$0.061n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.15
0%
36.2%US$0.20US$0.061n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.15
0%
36.8%US$0.20US$0.06n/a4
Jun ’25US$0.16
US$0.15
-7.0%
35.6%US$0.20US$0.06n/a4
May ’25n/a
US$0.14
0%
33.2%US$0.17US$0.059n/a4
Apr ’25US$0.10
US$0.12
+16.4%
32.7%US$0.16US$0.059n/a4
Mar ’25US$0.053
US$0.14
+153.9%
16.0%US$0.16US$0.11n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
US$0.14
0%
12.3%US$0.16US$0.13n/a3
Jan ’25US$0.10
US$0.14
+34.9%
10.9%US$0.16US$0.13n/a3
Dec ’24US$0.10
US$0.14
+32.4%
10.9%US$0.16US$0.13n/a3
Nov ’24US$0.095
US$0.14
+45.1%
10.9%US$0.16US$0.13US$0.293
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.23
0%
22.7%US$0.31US$0.19n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.23
0%
24.5%US$0.31US$0.19n/a3
Aug ’24US$0.16
US$0.26
+60.7%
17.2%US$0.32US$0.22n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.40
0%
17.9%US$0.49US$0.31n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.40
0%
17.9%US$0.49US$0.31US$0.165
May ’24n/a
US$0.44
0%
20.2%US$0.57US$0.32n/a6
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.52
0%
25.2%US$0.71US$0.34US$0.106
Mar ’24US$0.40
US$0.52
+30.0%
25.2%US$0.71US$0.34US$0.0536
Feb ’24US$0.54
US$0.68
+25.9%
40.4%US$1.28US$0.36n/a7
Jan ’24n/a
US$0.63
0%
40.6%US$1.20US$0.33US$0.108
Dec ’23US$0.42
US$0.53
+26.3%
46.8%US$1.15US$0.32US$0.108
Nov ’23US$0.31
US$0.53
+72.5%
46.8%US$1.15US$0.32US$0.0958

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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