Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Ltd.

OTCPK:SMDR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$51.6m

Sierra Madre Gold and Silver Valuation

Is SMDR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SMDR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SMDR.F ($0.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SMDR.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMDR.F?

Key metric: As SMDR.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SMDR.F. This is calculated by dividing SMDR.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SMDR.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio20.4x
SalesUS$2.54m
Market CapUS$51.63m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SMDR.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SMDR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
KNGW Kenongwo Group US
4.2xn/aUS$32.6m
CRKN Crown Electrokinetics
0.2xn/aUS$2.6m
ORGN Origin Materials
5x46.9%US$174.8m
BLGO BioLargo
2.9x18.3%US$54.0m
SMDR.F Sierra Madre Gold and Silver
20.4x43.6%US$72.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SMDR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SMDR.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

26 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.3x2.8%US$6.50b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.00b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.79b
SMDR.F 20.4xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies26PS0246810+
26 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SMDR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (20.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SMDR.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SMDR.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio20.4x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SMDR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SMDR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.30
US$0.77
+157.0%
20.9%US$0.93US$0.61n/a2
Nov ’25US$0.42
US$0.80
+90.5%
20.9%US$0.97US$0.63n/a2
Oct ’25US$0.42
US$0.80
+90.5%
20.9%US$0.97US$0.63n/a2
Sep ’25US$0.39
US$0.76
+95.7%
26.8%US$0.96US$0.56n/a2
Aug ’25US$0.33
US$0.63
+92.6%
14.3%US$0.72US$0.54n/a2
Jul ’25US$0.36
US$0.64
+75.4%
14.3%US$0.73US$0.55n/a2
Jun ’25US$0.35
US$0.64
+81.2%
14.3%US$0.73US$0.55n/a2
May ’25US$0.29
US$0.61
+111.9%
9.1%US$0.66US$0.55n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.21
US$0.61
+193.7%
9.1%US$0.66US$0.55n/a2
Mar ’25US$0.21
US$0.61
+190.8%
9.1%US$0.66US$0.55n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.23
US$0.60
+161.5%
9.1%US$0.65US$0.54n/a2
Jan ’25US$0.29
US$0.60
+108.6%
9.1%US$0.65US$0.54n/a2
Dec ’24US$0.31
US$0.60
+90.1%
9.1%US$0.65US$0.54n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Ecora Resources

UK£163.3m

Operates as a natural resource royalty and streaming company in Australia, North and South America, Europe, and internationally.

ECRA.F

UK£0.81

7D

-1.1%

1Y

-28.7%

Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund

CA$1.4b

Offers industrial chemicals and services in Canada, the United States, and South America.

CGIF.F

CA$8.16

7D

-0.5%

1Y

25.2%

CMOC Group

HK$156.5b

Engages in the mining, beneficiation, smelting, and refining of base and rare metals.

CMCL.F

HK$0.70

7D

-9.4%

1Y

27.9%