Vault Minerals Limited

OTCPK:REDL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5b

Vault Minerals Valuation

Is REDL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of REDL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: REDL.F ($0.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: REDL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for REDL.F?

Key metric: As REDL.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for REDL.F. This is calculated by dividing REDL.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is REDL.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.6x
SalesAU$620.00m
Market CapAU$2.31b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does REDL.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for REDL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
DRD DRDGOLD
2.4x10.3%US$826.2m
CDE Coeur Mining
2.5x17.0%US$2.5b
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
2.7x2.0%US$3.0b
GROY Gold Royalty
27.7x35.9%US$213.3m
REDL.F Vault Minerals
3.6x12.9%US$2.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: REDL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does REDL.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.3x2.8%US$6.63b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.17b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.83b
REDL.F 3.6xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: REDL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is REDL.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

REDL.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate REDL.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst REDL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.22
US$0.30
+36.3%
17.9%US$0.35US$0.20n/a7
Nov ’25US$0.24
US$0.30
+23.8%
17.9%US$0.35US$0.20n/a7
Oct ’25US$0.22
US$0.30
+37.0%
16.9%US$0.37US$0.21n/a7
Sep ’25US$0.27
US$0.28
+5.4%
16.9%US$0.34US$0.20n/a6
Aug ’25US$0.25
US$0.31
+20.6%
20.6%US$0.38US$0.20n/a6
Jul ’25US$0.24
US$0.32
+34.9%
19.9%US$0.37US$0.20n/a5
Jun ’25US$0.32
US$0.29
-11.2%
18.2%US$0.33US$0.20n/a4
May ’25n/a
US$0.28
0%
18.2%US$0.33US$0.20n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.24
0%
11.1%US$0.26US$0.20n/a4
Mar ’25US$0.25
US$0.23
-5.4%
10.8%US$0.26US$0.20n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
10.3%US$0.26US$0.20n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.22
0%
8.0%US$0.24US$0.20n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
8.0%US$0.24US$0.20n/a4
Nov ’24US$0.20
US$0.21
+5.3%
8.9%US$0.24US$0.19US$0.243
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.20
0%
24.1%US$0.27US$0.17US$0.223
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.20
0%
24.1%US$0.27US$0.17US$0.273
Aug ’24n/a
US$0.20
0%
30.5%US$0.28US$0.16US$0.253
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
38.9%US$0.28US$0.10US$0.243
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
38.9%US$0.28US$0.10US$0.323
May ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
38.9%US$0.28US$0.099n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
39.4%US$0.28US$0.10n/a3
Mar ’24US$0.13
US$0.19
+45.2%
39.4%US$0.28US$0.10US$0.253
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.25
0%
17.6%US$0.30US$0.19n/a3
Jan ’24n/a
US$0.24
0%
12.6%US$0.28US$0.21n/a3
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.24
0%
12.0%US$0.26US$0.21n/a2
Nov ’23US$0.07
US$0.24
+237.8%
12.0%US$0.26US$0.21US$0.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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