PT Vale Indonesia Tbk

OTCPK:PTND.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.5b

Vale Indonesia Valuation

Is PTND.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PTND.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PTND.F ($0.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PTND.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PTND.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PTND.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.9x
PEG Ratio-0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PTND.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PTND.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.5x
MTRN Materion
26.6x31.3%US$2.2b
GSM Ferroglobe
11.5x17.6%US$1.0b
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
82.6xn/aUS$95.6m
ARCH Arch Resources
9.1x6.1%US$2.9b
PTND.F Vale Indonesia
9.2x-14.0%US$40.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PTND.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PTND.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PTND.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PTND.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PTND.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PTND.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PTND.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.26
US$0.31
+19.0%
22.6%US$0.56US$0.24n/a20
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.31
0%
22.8%US$0.56US$0.24n/a20
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.31
0%
14.6%US$0.42US$0.25n/a16
Feb ’25US$0.26
US$0.35
+36.1%
23.6%US$0.55US$0.26n/a16
Jan ’25US$0.28
US$0.41
+45.8%
21.5%US$0.58US$0.30n/a18
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.42
0%
20.2%US$0.58US$0.32n/a18
Nov ’24US$0.35
US$0.45
+30.7%
16.6%US$0.58US$0.32n/a17
Oct ’24US$0.35
US$0.49
+39.4%
13.1%US$0.58US$0.38n/a16
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.50
0%
12.8%US$0.59US$0.38n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
US$0.52
0%
12.0%US$0.59US$0.38n/a16
Jul ’24US$0.41
US$0.52
+25.7%
12.7%US$0.60US$0.38n/a18
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.53
0%
11.4%US$0.60US$0.38n/a18
May ’24n/a
US$0.53
0%
12.0%US$0.61US$0.38US$0.2618
Apr ’24US$0.44
US$0.52
+17.1%
13.8%US$0.60US$0.38n/a18
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.52
0%
12.3%US$0.60US$0.38n/a18
Feb ’24US$0.50
US$0.53
+5.0%
12.4%US$0.60US$0.38US$0.2617
Jan ’24US$0.44
US$0.52
+17.1%
13.0%US$0.64US$0.37US$0.2818
Dec ’23US$0.45
US$0.51
+14.3%
13.4%US$0.64US$0.37n/a19
Nov ’23US$0.43
US$0.51
+18.4%
13.8%US$0.64US$0.37US$0.3517
Oct ’23US$0.43
US$0.54
+23.1%
8.7%US$0.64US$0.45US$0.3516
Sep ’23US$0.41
US$0.52
+26.6%
13.8%US$0.64US$0.33n/a16
Aug ’23n/a
US$0.52
0%
14.4%US$0.64US$0.33n/a16
Jul ’23US$0.39
US$0.54
+40.0%
14.8%US$0.66US$0.34US$0.4116
Jun ’23US$0.52
US$0.52
+1.5%
20.6%US$0.67US$0.23n/a19
May ’23US$0.51
US$0.48
-6.3%
22.6%US$0.66US$0.23n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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