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Allkem Valuation

Is OROC.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OROC.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OROC.F ($6.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OROC.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OROC.F?

Key metric: As OROC.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OROC.F. This is calculated by dividing OROC.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OROC.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
EarningsUS$444.99m
Market CapUS$4.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OROC.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OROC.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.3x
MTRN Materion
33.2x27.4%US$2.4b
GSM Ferroglobe
20.3x49.4%US$858.6m
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
23.5x30.3%US$161.9m
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
196.3xn/aUS$362.2m
OROC.F Allkem
9.5x5.0%US$6.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OROC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (31.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OROC.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.7xn/aUS$5.00m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
OROC.F 9.5xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OROC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OROC.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OROC.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OROC.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OROC.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Nov ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Oct ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Jul ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
May ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
US$9.06
0%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Jan ’25US$7.30
US$9.06
+24.1%
22.8%US$12.60US$5.79n/a12
Dec ’24US$5.75
US$9.43
+64.1%
22.4%US$14.12US$5.62n/a18
Nov ’24US$5.80
US$9.54
+64.4%
17.5%US$13.56US$6.91n/a18
Oct ’24US$7.42
US$10.78
+45.2%
15.0%US$13.74US$6.94n/a18
Sep ’24US$8.99
US$11.25
+25.1%
11.8%US$13.70US$9.10n/a18
Aug ’24US$9.86
US$11.79
+19.6%
11.8%US$14.30US$9.65n/a18
Jul ’24US$10.80
US$11.50
+6.5%
12.8%US$14.44US$9.46n/a18
Jun ’24US$9.60
US$10.90
+13.5%
15.1%US$14.05US$8.48n/a19
May ’24US$7.87
US$10.15
+28.9%
16.8%US$13.39US$8.37n/a20
Apr ’24US$8.00
US$10.64
+33.0%
15.6%US$13.37US$7.35n/a19
Mar ’24US$8.08
US$10.79
+33.6%
17.1%US$13.51US$7.43n/a19
Feb ’24US$9.56
US$11.64
+21.8%
17.4%US$14.23US$7.83n/a19
Jan ’24US$7.57
US$11.27
+48.9%
18.2%US$14.67US$7.20US$7.3019
Dec ’23US$9.50
US$11.81
+24.3%
16.8%US$15.33US$7.36US$5.7518
Nov ’23US$9.47
US$10.69
+12.8%
17.3%US$13.05US$6.91US$5.8015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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