Nova Minerals Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NVAA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NVAA.F ($0.11) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($6.22)

Is NVAA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NVAA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NVAA.F ($0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NVAA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NVAA.F?

Key metric: As NVAA.F is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for NVAA.F. This is calculated by dividing NVAA.F's market cap by their current book value.
What is NVAA.F's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio	0.7x
Book	AU$90.70m
Market Cap	AU$63.05m

NVAA.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-5.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does NVAA.F's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for NVAA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PB	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	49.3x
FEAM 5E Advanced Materials	14.9x	18.1%	US$31.1m
ABAT American Battery Technology	1.2x	n/a	US$69.5m
XPL Solitario Resources	2.1x	n/a	US$49.7m
COBA Chilean Cobalt	179.1x	n/a	US$52.2m
NVAA.F Nova Minerals	0.7x	n/a	US$68.5m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: NVAA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (49.4x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does NVAA.F's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

8 Companies	Price / Book	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
NEVD.Q Nevada Copper	0.1x	n/a	US$26.02m
VITF.F Victoria Gold	0.06x	n/a	US$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations	0.2x	n/a	US$6.03m
LITM Snow Lake Resources	0.2x	n/a	US$4.14m

8 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: NVAA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NVAA.F's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NVAA.F PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio	0.7x
Fair PB Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NVAA.F's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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