U.S. Gold Valuation

Is USAU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of USAU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate USAU's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate USAU's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for USAU?

Key metric: As USAU is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for USAU. This is calculated by dividing USAU's market cap by their current book value.
What is USAU's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio6.4x
BookUS$13.15m
Market CapUS$88.86m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does USAU's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for USAU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
PNRL.F Premium Resources
16.5xn/aUS$63.1m
ABAT American Battery Technology
1xn/aUS$59.6m
NB NioCorp Developments
24.6xn/aUS$59.9m
UAMY United States Antimony
3.2xn/aUS$74.4m
USAU U.S. Gold
6.4xn/aUS$88.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: USAU is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does USAU's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEVD.Q Nevada Copper
0.1xn/aUS$26.02m
VITF.F Victoria Gold
0.06xn/aUS$23.43m
GORO Gold Resource
0.2xn/aUS$13.18m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.1xn/aUS$5.46m
USAU 6.4xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies14PB012345+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: USAU is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (6.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is USAU's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

USAU PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio6.4x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate USAU's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst USAU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.83
US$15.13
+93.2%
14.0%US$17.25US$13.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$6.12
US$13.13
+114.5%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$5.71
US$13.13
+129.9%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$5.54
US$13.13
+136.9%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$5.56
US$13.13
+136.1%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$5.21
US$13.13
+151.9%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$5.83
US$13.13
+125.1%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
May ’25US$4.34
US$13.13
+202.4%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$3.93
US$13.13
+234.0%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$3.54
US$13.13
+270.8%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$3.71
US$13.13
+253.6%
16.2%US$15.25US$11.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$4.25
US$14.67
+245.1%
19.6%US$18.00US$11.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$3.70
US$14.67
+296.4%
19.6%US$18.00US$11.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$3.26
US$14.67
+349.9%
19.6%US$18.00US$11.00US$6.123
Oct ’24US$3.11
US$14.67
+371.6%
19.6%US$18.00US$11.00US$5.713
Sep ’24US$3.86
US$14.67
+280.0%
19.6%US$18.00US$11.00US$5.543
Aug ’24US$4.44
US$15.00
+237.8%
16.3%US$18.00US$12.00US$5.563
Jul ’24US$4.45
US$13.50
+203.4%
11.1%US$15.00US$12.00US$5.212
Jun ’24US$4.06
US$12.75
+214.0%
17.6%US$15.00US$10.50US$5.832
May ’24US$4.06
US$16.83
+314.6%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$4.343
Apr ’24US$5.58
US$16.83
+201.7%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$3.933
Mar ’24US$4.15
US$16.83
+305.6%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$3.543
Feb ’24US$4.66
US$16.83
+261.2%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$3.713
Jan ’24US$4.80
US$16.83
+250.7%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$4.253
Dec ’23US$4.29
US$16.83
+292.4%
36.0%US$25.00US$10.50US$3.703

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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