Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V.

OTCPK:IPOA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.0b

Industrias Peñoles. de Valuation

Is IPOA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IPOA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IPOA.F ($15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($16.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IPOA.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPOA.F?

Key metric: As IPOA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IPOA.F. This is calculated by dividing IPOA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IPOA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio68.8x
EarningsUS$83.65m
Market CapUS$5.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IPOA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IPOA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.4x
CMC Commercial Metals
14.6x6.0%US$7.0b
TX Ternium
83.6x47.4%US$6.6b
RGLD Royal Gold
33.1xn/aUS$9.8b
X United States Steel
22.1x35.9%US$8.8b
IPOA.F Industrias Peñoles. de
68.8xn/aUS$121.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IPOA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the peer average (38.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IPOA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.7xn/aUS$5.00m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
IPOA.F 68.8xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IPOA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IPOA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IPOA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio68.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IPOA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IPOA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.00
US$13.21
-11.9%
24.2%US$19.02US$9.91n/a5
Nov ’25US$15.90
US$13.21
-16.9%
24.2%US$19.02US$9.91n/a5
Oct ’25US$13.05
US$12.44
-4.7%
14.1%US$15.03US$10.37n/a4
Sep ’25US$12.00
US$12.62
+5.2%
14.8%US$15.14US$10.44n/a5
Aug ’25US$14.23
US$12.43
-12.6%
11.7%US$14.88US$10.67n/a5
Jul ’25US$13.40
US$12.68
-5.4%
11.7%US$15.18US$10.88n/a5
Jun ’25US$15.18
US$13.73
-9.5%
11.7%US$16.44US$11.78n/a5
May ’25US$13.20
US$13.73
+4.0%
11.7%US$16.44US$11.78n/a5
Apr ’25US$15.40
US$13.91
-9.7%
13.9%US$16.84US$11.17n/a6
Mar ’25US$12.17
US$13.63
+12.0%
19.8%US$18.73US$10.76n/a6
Feb ’25US$13.54
US$13.63
+0.7%
19.8%US$18.73US$10.76n/a6
Jan ’25US$15.00
US$13.74
-8.4%
19.2%US$18.76US$10.78n/a6
Dec ’24US$15.81
US$13.07
-17.3%
19.2%US$17.84US$10.25n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
US$13.07
0%
19.2%US$17.84US$10.25US$15.906
Oct ’24US$11.76
US$14.14
+20.2%
20.0%US$18.84US$10.82US$13.056
Sep ’24US$14.50
US$15.03
+3.6%
16.3%US$18.83US$11.70US$12.005
Aug ’24US$13.59
US$15.04
+10.6%
16.5%US$18.82US$11.69US$14.235
Jul ’24US$13.97
US$15.04
+7.6%
16.5%US$18.82US$11.69US$13.405
Jun ’24US$16.20
US$14.71
-9.2%
13.7%US$17.99US$12.29US$15.185
May ’24US$15.40
US$13.97
-9.3%
12.9%US$17.29US$11.81US$13.205
Apr ’24US$14.80
US$13.97
-5.6%
12.9%US$17.29US$11.81US$15.405
Mar ’24US$12.70
US$14.42
+13.5%
20.0%US$19.05US$11.50US$12.176
Feb ’24US$14.40
US$13.82
-4.0%
18.0%US$17.71US$10.70US$13.546
Jan ’24US$13.50
US$13.82
+2.4%
18.0%US$17.71US$10.70US$15.006
Dec ’23US$13.75
US$13.36
-2.8%
23.4%US$17.66US$9.59US$15.816
Nov ’23US$12.25
US$13.36
+9.1%
23.4%US$17.66US$9.59n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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