Fortitude Gold Corporation

OTCPK:FTCO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$131.7m

Fortitude Gold Valuation

Is FTCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FTCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FTCO ($5.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($9.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FTCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FTCO?

Key metric: As FTCO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FTCO. This is calculated by dividing FTCO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FTCO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio61.9x
EarningsUS$2.13m
Market CapUS$131.74m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FTCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FTCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.6x
VGZ Vista Gold
6.6xn/aUS$74.5m
CMCL Caledonia Mining
22.2x93.0%US$206.2m
XTGR.F Xtra-Gold Resources
81.4xn/aUS$57.0m
MUX McEwen Mining
4.3x-106.9%US$443.5m
FTCO Fortitude Gold
61.9xn/aUS$131.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FTCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.9x) compared to the peer average (28.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FTCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.5xn/aUS$5.00m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
FTCO 61.9xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FTCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.9x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FTCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FTCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio61.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FTCO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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