Aya Gold & Silver Inc.

OTCPK:AYAS.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.3b

Aya Gold & Silver Valuation

Is AYAS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AYAS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AYAS.F ($9.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AYAS.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AYAS.F?

Key metric: As AYAS.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AYAS.F. This is calculated by dividing AYAS.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AYAS.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio30.6x
SalesUS$40.85m
Market CapUS$1.25b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AYAS.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AYAS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
HL Hecla Mining
4.1x9.0%US$3.5b
KALU Kaiser Aluminum
0.4x6.1%US$1.3b
SXC SunCoke Energy
0.5x-12.5%US$1.1b
MTAL Metals Acquisition
3.2x12.2%US$1.1b
AYAS.F Aya Gold & Silver
30.6x56.1%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AYAS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (30.6x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AYAS.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.56b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.15b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.80b
AYAS.F 30.6xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AYAS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (30.6x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AYAS.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AYAS.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio30.6x
Fair PS Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AYAS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (30.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AYAS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.60
US$15.73
+63.9%
13.8%US$18.55US$9.99n/a10
Nov ’25US$12.75
US$16.69
+30.9%
9.2%US$19.12US$14.44n/a9
Oct ’25US$13.22
US$15.75
+19.1%
13.8%US$19.19US$12.87n/a9
Sep ’25US$11.12
US$15.45
+39.0%
14.1%US$18.98US$13.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$10.93
US$15.28
+39.8%
14.5%US$18.89US$12.63n/a9
Jul ’25US$10.05
US$14.29
+42.2%
12.3%US$16.17US$11.76n/a7
Jun ’25US$10.96
US$13.82
+26.1%
13.2%US$16.17US$11.76n/a7
May ’25US$9.78
US$13.02
+33.2%
10.2%US$15.92US$11.46n/a7
Apr ’25US$8.08
US$10.55
+30.6%
9.3%US$12.56US$9.21n/a7
Mar ’25US$7.38
US$10.89
+47.6%
10.3%US$12.66US$9.25n/a7
Feb ’25US$7.87
US$10.91
+38.7%
10.1%US$12.66US$9.28n/a7
Jan ’25US$7.32
US$10.10
+38.1%
14.9%US$12.49US$7.68n/a7
Dec ’24US$7.66
US$10.10
+31.9%
14.9%US$12.49US$7.68n/a7
Nov ’24US$5.29
US$10.12
+91.2%
13.2%US$12.47US$8.70US$12.757
Oct ’24US$5.36
US$10.51
+96.1%
11.6%US$12.60US$8.70US$13.227
Sep ’24US$5.97
US$10.47
+75.3%
11.6%US$12.57US$8.70US$11.127
Aug ’24US$6.34
US$10.62
+67.5%
11.7%US$12.91US$8.70US$10.937
Jul ’24US$6.42
US$10.44
+62.7%
12.2%US$12.83US$8.56US$10.057
Jun ’24US$7.05
US$10.15
+43.9%
12.8%US$12.51US$8.08US$10.967
May ’24US$7.58
US$10.21
+34.7%
13.2%US$12.63US$8.08US$9.787
Apr ’24US$8.06
US$9.93
+23.2%
14.3%US$12.56US$8.24US$8.087
Mar ’24US$6.04
US$9.76
+61.5%
15.4%US$12.53US$8.18US$7.388
Feb ’24US$6.45
US$9.25
+43.4%
16.9%US$12.77US$7.82US$7.877
Jan ’24US$6.63
US$9.02
+36.1%
19.8%US$12.45US$6.92US$7.328
Dec ’23US$6.33
US$8.60
+35.8%
15.9%US$11.54US$6.92US$7.667
Nov ’23US$5.90
US$8.41
+42.5%
15.4%US$11.20US$6.92US$5.297

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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