Aurelia Metals Limited

OTCPK:AUMT.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$192.8m

Aurelia Metals Valuation

Is AUMT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AUMT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AUMT.F ($0.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AUMT.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AUMT.F?

Key metric: As AUMT.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AUMT.F. This is calculated by dividing AUMT.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AUMT.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.9x
SalesAU$309.89m
Market CapAU$296.02m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AUMT.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AUMT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
62.1xn/aUS$362.2m
UAMY United States Antimony
7.6xn/aUS$79.9m
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources
7.4x17.8%US$166.5m
CMP Compass Minerals International
0.5x2.3%US$618.0m
AUMT.F Aurelia Metals
0.9x4.6%US$296.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AUMT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AUMT.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.59b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.1%US$5.76b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.2x9.3%US$1.71b
AUMT.F 0.9xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies25PS0246810+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AUMT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AUMT.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AUMT.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AUMT.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AUMT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.15
US$0.17
+10.6%
5.7%US$0.18US$0.16n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.15
US$0.17
+10.6%
5.7%US$0.18US$0.16n/a3
Oct ’25US$0.15
US$0.14
-6.1%
35.8%US$0.17US$0.054n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.15
0%
36.4%US$0.18US$0.054n/a4
Aug ’25US$0.11
US$0.15
+33.4%
37.1%US$0.19US$0.054n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.14
0%
36.1%US$0.18US$0.053n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
US$0.13
0%
35.2%US$0.17US$0.053n/a4
May ’25US$0.15
US$0.13
-15.5%
34.5%US$0.16US$0.052n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
US$0.11
0%
34.6%US$0.15US$0.052n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
US$0.13
0%
16.0%US$0.14US$0.097n/a3
Feb ’25US$0.05
US$0.12
+146.5%
18.2%US$0.15US$0.092n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
US$0.12
0%
18.2%US$0.15US$0.092n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.12
0%
16.9%US$0.13US$0.089n/a3
Nov ’24US$0.10
US$0.12
+16.2%
16.9%US$0.13US$0.089US$0.153
Oct ’24US$0.045
US$0.17
+278.3%
54.3%US$0.33US$0.09US$0.154
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.17
0%
55.7%US$0.33US$0.084n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
US$0.17
0%
59.1%US$0.34US$0.081US$0.114
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.17
0%
57.5%US$0.34US$0.08n/a4
Jun ’24US$0.09
US$0.20
+126.4%
46.3%US$0.34US$0.12n/a3
May ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
38.6%US$0.34US$0.15US$0.153
Apr ’24US$0.07
US$0.25
+254.5%
28.9%US$0.34US$0.17n/a3
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.37
0%
70.3%US$0.74US$0.14n/a3
Feb ’24US$0.10
US$0.39
+285.1%
70.3%US$0.76US$0.14US$0.053
Jan ’24US$0.085
US$0.35
+311.3%
74.3%US$0.72US$0.13n/a3
Dec ’23US$0.12
US$0.36
+198.7%
71.4%US$0.71US$0.15n/a3
Nov ’23US$0.073
US$0.35
+377.3%
69.5%US$0.69US$0.16US$0.103

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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