AMG Critical Materials N.V.

OTCPK:AMVM.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$499.0m

AMG Critical Materials Valuation

Is AMVM.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMVM.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMVM.F ($16.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($187.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMVM.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMVM.F?

Key metric: As AMVM.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMVM.F. This is calculated by dividing AMVM.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMVM.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$1.45b
Market CapUS$499.05m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMVM.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMVM.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group
62.1xn/aUS$362.2m
CMP Compass Minerals International
0.5x2.3%US$624.6m
GSM Ferroglobe
0.5x5.3%US$824.8m
NEXA Nexa Resources
0.4x0.2%US$999.9m
AMVM.F AMG Critical Materials
0.3x9.7%US$476.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMVM.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMVM.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x5.4%
AMVM.F AMG Critical Materials
 0.3x9.7%US$499.05m
TX Ternium
0.3x2.8%US$6.63b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.17b
AMVM.F 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.3x20.9%
AMVM.F AMG Critical Materials
 0.3x107.0%US$499.05m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMVM.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMVM.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMVM.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMVM.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMVM.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.01
US$25.28
+57.9%
27.9%US$33.49US$18.24n/a4
Nov ’25US$16.69
US$25.84
+54.8%
25.3%US$33.49US$18.33n/a4
Oct ’25US$18.35
US$25.95
+41.4%
24.7%US$33.49US$18.77n/a4
Sep ’25US$16.95
US$26.46
+56.1%
24.7%US$33.49US$19.41n/a4
Aug ’25US$18.30
US$26.09
+42.6%
23.6%US$32.43US$19.41n/a4
Jul ’25US$16.99
US$28.20
+66.0%
14.3%US$32.43US$23.64n/a4
Jun ’25US$22.40
US$28.73
+28.3%
16.2%US$34.52US$23.64n/a4
May ’25US$24.50
US$27.45
+12.1%
22.2%US$34.52US$19.47n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
US$26.99
0%
23.3%US$34.52US$19.47n/a5
Mar ’25US$22.22
US$26.99
+21.4%
23.3%US$34.52US$19.47n/a5
Feb ’25US$20.60
US$29.77
+44.5%
27.9%US$43.95US$22.95n/a5
Jan ’25US$24.85
US$30.03
+20.8%
27.2%US$43.95US$22.41n/a5
Dec ’24US$24.08
US$30.37
+26.2%
27.6%US$43.95US$22.41n/a5
Nov ’24US$26.69
US$46.19
+73.1%
16.3%US$55.98US$37.16US$16.695
Oct ’24US$30.24
US$54.78
+81.1%
21.7%US$71.52US$38.04US$18.355
Sep ’24US$34.35
US$59.76
+74.0%
13.6%US$71.52US$47.39US$16.955
Aug ’24US$40.00
US$60.01
+50.0%
14.2%US$72.78US$47.39US$18.305
Jul ’24n/a
US$63.89
0%
8.8%US$72.10US$57.22US$16.994
Jun ’24US$46.00
US$60.45
+31.4%
4.4%US$64.57US$57.22US$22.404
May ’24US$36.24
US$58.99
+62.8%
1.9%US$59.89US$57.09US$24.504
Apr ’24US$42.50
US$58.45
+37.5%
3.0%US$59.89US$55.49n/a4
Mar ’24US$41.70
US$57.82
+38.7%
2.9%US$59.89US$55.49US$22.224
Feb ’24US$38.87
US$54.91
+41.3%
7.2%US$58.70US$49.04US$20.604
Jan ’24US$38.21
US$50.98
+33.4%
8.1%US$55.77US$43.92US$24.855
Dec ’23US$40.24
US$50.98
+26.7%
8.1%US$55.77US$43.92US$24.085
Nov ’23US$32.60
US$49.14
+50.7%
11.7%US$53.69US$38.13US$26.695

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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