Orla Mining Ltd.

NYSEAM:ORLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5b

Orla Mining Valuation

Is ORLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORLA ($4.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORLA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORLA?

Key metric: As ORLA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ORLA. This is calculated by dividing ORLA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ORLA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.7x
SalesUS$314.10m
Market CapUS$1.48b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ORLA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ORLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
DRD DRDGOLD
2.4x11.0%US$834.8m
CDE Coeur Mining
2.5x17.0%US$2.6b
GROY Gold Royalty
27.5x35.9%US$216.7m
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
2.7x2.0%US$3.1b
ORLA Orla Mining
4.7x3.4%US$2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ORLA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ORLA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.56b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.15b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.80b
ORLA 4.7xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ORLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORLA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORLA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.7x
Fair PS Ratio4.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ORLA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.41
US$5.59
+26.8%
5.3%US$6.09US$5.16n/a6
Nov ’25US$4.74
US$5.41
+14.0%
9.0%US$5.76US$4.31n/a7
Oct ’25US$4.12
US$5.24
+27.3%
11.8%US$5.94US$4.22n/a7
Sep ’25US$4.20
US$5.18
+23.4%
10.9%US$5.87US$4.22n/a7
Aug ’25US$3.62
US$5.13
+41.6%
11.2%US$5.86US$4.18n/a7
Jul ’25US$3.77
US$4.96
+31.5%
12.2%US$5.84US$4.02n/a9
Jun ’25US$4.27
US$4.97
+16.4%
12.1%US$5.84US$4.04n/a9
May ’25US$3.96
US$4.87
+22.9%
10.0%US$5.55US$4.19n/a9
Apr ’25US$3.81
US$4.57
+19.9%
15.1%US$5.55US$3.69n/a9
Mar ’25US$3.45
US$4.60
+33.3%
15.1%US$5.55US$3.71n/a9
Feb ’25US$3.53
US$4.60
+30.4%
15.9%US$5.58US$3.55n/a9
Jan ’25US$3.25
US$4.59
+41.1%
17.3%US$5.60US$3.32n/a8
Dec ’24US$3.08
US$4.93
+60.0%
14.5%US$5.82US$3.68n/a8
Nov ’24US$3.03
US$5.24
+72.9%
7.4%US$5.82US$4.73US$4.748
Oct ’24US$3.57
US$5.43
+52.1%
6.4%US$5.92US$4.83US$4.128
Sep ’24US$4.74
US$5.43
+14.6%
6.1%US$5.90US$4.83US$4.208
Aug ’24US$4.48
US$5.57
+24.4%
6.8%US$6.08US$4.93US$3.628
Jul ’24US$4.20
US$5.49
+30.7%
6.6%US$6.04US$4.92US$3.778
Jun ’24US$4.47
US$5.40
+20.7%
7.1%US$5.93US$4.78US$4.278
May ’24US$4.50
US$5.42
+20.4%
7.5%US$5.96US$4.77US$3.967
Apr ’24US$4.75
US$5.05
+6.2%
10.8%US$5.89US$4.22US$3.817
Mar ’24US$4.37
US$5.03
+15.2%
9.0%US$5.60US$4.23US$3.457
Feb ’24US$4.34
US$5.03
+16.0%
9.7%US$5.62US$4.32US$3.537
Jan ’24US$4.04
US$5.09
+26.0%
7.2%US$5.64US$4.63US$3.257
Dec ’23US$3.94
US$5.20
+32.1%
7.9%US$5.80US$4.63US$3.088
Nov ’23US$3.21
US$5.09
+58.5%
8.6%US$5.80US$4.53US$3.038

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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