Orla Mining Ltd.

NYSEAM:ORLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.6b

Orla Mining Valuation

Is ORLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$12.56
Fair Value
13.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ORLA ($10.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORLA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORLA?

Key metric: As ORLA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ORLA. This is calculated by dividing ORLA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ORLA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.4x
SalesUS$417.31m
Market CapUS$3.61b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ORLA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ORLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
3.5x4.80%US$4.3b
CDE Coeur Mining
5x12.95%US$6.0b
DRD DRDGOLD
3.1x11.49%US$1.2b
RGLD Royal Gold
15.4x8.59%US$11.6b
ORLA Orla Mining
8.4x19.03%US$4.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ORLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ORLA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.3x3.81%US$5.67b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.2x6.44%US$3.76b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.81%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.2x9.46%US$1.85b
ORLA 8.4xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies27PS01.63.24.86.48+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ORLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORLA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORLA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.4x
Fair PS Ratio9.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ORLA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.88
US$12.40
+13.93%
8.81%US$13.92US$10.99n/a9
Jun ’26US$10.57
US$11.94
+12.99%
9.42%US$13.57US$10.75n/a9
May ’26US$10.37
US$12.15
+17.16%
9.11%US$13.76US$10.76n/a9
Apr ’26US$9.30
US$9.27
-0.33%
21.15%US$12.52US$6.11n/a9
Mar ’26US$7.01
US$7.39
+5.41%
12.46%US$8.74US$6.12n/a7
Feb ’26US$6.17
US$6.23
+0.96%
6.73%US$6.95US$5.55n/a6
Jan ’26US$5.54
US$5.89
+6.28%
9.64%US$6.89US$5.19n/a7
Dec ’25US$4.77
US$5.69
+19.22%
5.20%US$6.09US$5.19n/a7
Nov ’25US$4.74
US$5.41
+14.05%
8.97%US$5.76US$4.31n/a7
Oct ’25US$4.12
US$5.24
+27.27%
11.79%US$5.94US$4.22n/a7
Sep ’25US$4.20
US$5.18
+23.44%
10.90%US$5.87US$4.22n/a7
Aug ’25US$3.62
US$5.13
+41.60%
11.22%US$5.86US$4.18n/a7
Jul ’25US$3.77
US$4.96
+31.49%
12.23%US$5.84US$4.02n/a9
Jun ’25US$4.27
US$4.97
+16.43%
12.07%US$5.84US$4.04US$10.579
May ’25US$3.96
US$4.87
+22.91%
9.97%US$5.55US$4.19US$10.379
Apr ’25US$3.81
US$4.57
+19.90%
15.15%US$5.55US$3.69US$9.309
Mar ’25US$3.45
US$4.60
+33.31%
15.09%US$5.55US$3.71US$7.019
Feb ’25US$3.53
US$4.60
+30.41%
15.87%US$5.58US$3.55US$6.179
Jan ’25US$3.25
US$4.59
+41.10%
17.29%US$5.60US$3.32US$5.548
Dec ’24US$3.08
US$4.93
+60.00%
14.47%US$5.82US$3.68US$4.778
Nov ’24US$3.03
US$5.24
+72.90%
7.39%US$5.82US$4.73US$4.748
Oct ’24US$3.57
US$5.43
+52.06%
6.37%US$5.92US$4.83US$4.128
Sep ’24US$4.74
US$5.43
+14.59%
6.12%US$5.90US$4.83US$4.208
Aug ’24US$4.48
US$5.57
+24.37%
6.84%US$6.08US$4.93US$3.628
Jul ’24US$4.20
US$5.49
+30.73%
6.57%US$6.04US$4.92US$3.778
Jun ’24US$4.47
US$5.40
+20.72%
7.11%US$5.93US$4.78US$4.278
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
US$12.48
Fair Value
12.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/09 12:25
End of Day Share Price 2025/06/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Orla Mining Ltd. is covered by 14 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Andrew MikitchookBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Cosmos ChiuCIBC Capital Markets