Stock Analysis

Trinseo (NYSE:TSE) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.01

NYSE:TSE
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Trinseo PLC (NYSE:TSE) will pay a dividend of $0.01 on the 22nd of July. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Trinseo's stock price has reduced by 49% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

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Trinseo Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Despite not generating a profit, Trinseo is still paying a dividend. The company is also yet to generate cash flow, so the dividend sustainability is definitely questionable.

Looking forward, earnings per share could 63.8% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This will push the company into unprofitability, which means the managers will have to choose between suspending the dividend, or paying it out of cash reserves.

historic-dividend
NYSE:TSE Historic Dividend July 3rd 2024

Trinseo's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Trinseo has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 8 years was $1.20 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $0.04. The dividend has fallen 97% over that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Trinseo's EPS has fallen by approximately 64% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

We're Not Big Fans Of Trinseo's Dividend

Overall, while some might be pleased that the dividend wasn't cut, we think this may help Trinseo make more consistent payments in the future. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Overall, this doesn't get us very excited from an income standpoint.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 6 warning signs for Trinseo (4 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trinseo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.